Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool
The study aims to evaluate the long-term changes in meteorological parameters and to quantify their impacts on water resources of the Haro River watershed located on the upstream side of Khanpur Dam in Pakistan. The climate data was obtained from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Proje...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI
2019
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| Online Access: | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/38366/1/38366.pdf |
| _version_ | 1825949212470149120 |
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| author | Nauman, Saima Zulkafli, Zed Diyana Ghazali, Abdul Halim Yusuf, Badronnisa |
| author_facet | Nauman, Saima Zulkafli, Zed Diyana Ghazali, Abdul Halim Yusuf, Badronnisa |
| author_sort | Nauman, Saima |
| collection | UPM |
| description | The study aims to evaluate the long-term changes in meteorological parameters and to quantify their impacts on water resources of the Haro River watershed located on the upstream side of Khanpur Dam in Pakistan. The climate data was obtained from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projection (NEX-GDDP) for MIROC-ESM model under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. The model data was bias corrected and the performance of the bias correction was assessed statistically. Soil and Water Assessment Tool was used for the hydrological simulation of watershed followed by model calibration using Sequential Uncertainty Fitting version-2. The study is useful for devising strategies for future management of Khanpur Dam. The study indicated that in the future, at Murree station (P-1), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were anticipated to increase from 3.1 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.0 °C (RCP 8.5), 3.2 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.3 °C (RCP 8.5) and 8.6% to 13.5% respectively, in comparison to the baseline period. Similarly, at Islamabad station (P-2), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were projected to increase from 3.3 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.1 °C (RCP 8.5), 3.3 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.2 °C (RCP 8.5) and 14.0% to 21.2% respectively compared to baseline period. The streamflows at Haro River basin were expected to rise from 8.7 m3/s to 9.3 m3/s. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T08:41:05Z |
| format | Article |
| id | upm.eprints-38366 |
| institution | Universiti Putra Malaysia |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T08:41:05Z |
| publishDate | 2019 |
| publisher | MDPI |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | upm.eprints-383662020-05-04T16:23:49Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/38366/ Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool Nauman, Saima Zulkafli, Zed Diyana Ghazali, Abdul Halim Yusuf, Badronnisa The study aims to evaluate the long-term changes in meteorological parameters and to quantify their impacts on water resources of the Haro River watershed located on the upstream side of Khanpur Dam in Pakistan. The climate data was obtained from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projection (NEX-GDDP) for MIROC-ESM model under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. The model data was bias corrected and the performance of the bias correction was assessed statistically. Soil and Water Assessment Tool was used for the hydrological simulation of watershed followed by model calibration using Sequential Uncertainty Fitting version-2. The study is useful for devising strategies for future management of Khanpur Dam. The study indicated that in the future, at Murree station (P-1), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were anticipated to increase from 3.1 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.0 °C (RCP 8.5), 3.2 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.3 °C (RCP 8.5) and 8.6% to 13.5% respectively, in comparison to the baseline period. Similarly, at Islamabad station (P-2), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were projected to increase from 3.3 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.1 °C (RCP 8.5), 3.3 °C (RCP 4.5) to 4.2 °C (RCP 8.5) and 14.0% to 21.2% respectively compared to baseline period. The streamflows at Haro River basin were expected to rise from 8.7 m3/s to 9.3 m3/s. MDPI 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/38366/1/38366.pdf Nauman, Saima and Zulkafli, Zed Diyana and Ghazali, Abdul Halim and Yusuf, Badronnisa (2019) Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool. Water, 11 (5). art. no. 1090. pp. 1-18. ISSN 2073-4441 https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/11/5/1090 10.3390/w11051090 |
| spellingShingle | Nauman, Saima Zulkafli, Zed Diyana Ghazali, Abdul Halim Yusuf, Badronnisa Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title | Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title_full | Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title_fullStr | Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title_short | Impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| title_sort | impact assessment of future climate change on streamflows upstream of khanpur dam pakistan using soil and water assessment tool |
| url | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/38366/1/38366.pdf |
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