Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor

The aim of this study is to determine the behavior of extreme PM10 levels monitored at three air monitoring stations in Johor using frequentist and Bayesian technique. Bayesian allows priors or additional information about the data into the analysis which expectedly improve the model fit. The genera...

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Main Authors: Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita, Adam, Mohd Bakri, Aris, Ahmad Zaharin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2015
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/42919/1/42919.pdf
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author Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita
Adam, Mohd Bakri
Aris, Ahmad Zaharin
author_facet Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita
Adam, Mohd Bakri
Aris, Ahmad Zaharin
author_sort Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita
collection UPM
description The aim of this study is to determine the behavior of extreme PM10 levels monitored at three air monitoring stations in Johor using frequentist and Bayesian technique. Bayesian allows priors or additional information about the data into the analysis which expectedly improve the model fit. The generalized extreme value distribution is fitted to the monthly maxima PM10 data. The results obtained show that the Bayesian posterior inferences perform at least as trustworthy as maximum likelihood estimates but considerably more flexible and informative. The return levels for 10, 50 and 100-years were computed for future prediction.
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spelling upm.eprints-429192016-05-03T06:32:26Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/42919/ Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita Adam, Mohd Bakri Aris, Ahmad Zaharin The aim of this study is to determine the behavior of extreme PM10 levels monitored at three air monitoring stations in Johor using frequentist and Bayesian technique. Bayesian allows priors or additional information about the data into the analysis which expectedly improve the model fit. The generalized extreme value distribution is fitted to the monthly maxima PM10 data. The results obtained show that the Bayesian posterior inferences perform at least as trustworthy as maximum likelihood estimates but considerably more flexible and informative. The return levels for 10, 50 and 100-years were computed for future prediction. Elsevier 2015 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/42919/1/42919.pdf Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita and Adam, Mohd Bakri and Aris, Ahmad Zaharin (2015) Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 30. pp. 309-314. ISSN 1878-0296 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1878029615006490 10.1016/j.proenv.2015.10.055
spellingShingle Mohd Amin, Nor Azrita
Adam, Mohd Bakri
Aris, Ahmad Zaharin
Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title_full Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title_fullStr Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title_short Bayesian extreme for modeling high PM10 concentration in Johor
title_sort bayesian extreme for modeling high pm10 concentration in johor
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/42919/1/42919.pdf
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