The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy

The economic impacts of climate change on rice production in peninsular Malaysia were evaluated by using a simulation analysis. The crop model ORYZA 2000 was used to simulate rice growth and production. Variety MR 219 was used in the simulation of rice production from eight granary areas of peninsul...

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Main Authors: Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin, Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2010
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/45771/1/The%20potential%20impacts%20of%20climate%20change%20on%20the%20Malaysian%20rice%20economy.pdf
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author Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
author_facet Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
author_sort Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin
collection UPM
description The economic impacts of climate change on rice production in peninsular Malaysia were evaluated by using a simulation analysis. The crop model ORYZA 2000 was used to simulate rice growth and production. Variety MR 219 was used in the simulation of rice production from eight granary areas of peninsular Malaysia from 1999-2007. With increase in temperature of 2°C and at the current CO2 level, the model predicted decline in yield. With increase of CO2 concentration from 383 to 574ppm and with 2°C rise in temperature, the model predicted decline in rice production and also negative effect on rice economy. The findings indicate that the reduction in yield under the scenario of increase in temperature of 2°C was 0.36 metric tonne per hectare and the economic loss of RM162, 530.53 per year. Under the scenario of both increases in temperature and CO2 level, the reduction in yield was 0.69 metric tonne per hectare. This can be translated to the economic loss of RM299,145.10 per year for the peninsular Malaysia. Some adaptation and mitigation strategies to overcome the adverse effects of climate change on rice production are recommended.
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spelling upm.eprints-457712020-08-07T02:59:50Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/45771/ The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin Shamsudin, Mad Nasir The economic impacts of climate change on rice production in peninsular Malaysia were evaluated by using a simulation analysis. The crop model ORYZA 2000 was used to simulate rice growth and production. Variety MR 219 was used in the simulation of rice production from eight granary areas of peninsular Malaysia from 1999-2007. With increase in temperature of 2°C and at the current CO2 level, the model predicted decline in yield. With increase of CO2 concentration from 383 to 574ppm and with 2°C rise in temperature, the model predicted decline in rice production and also negative effect on rice economy. The findings indicate that the reduction in yield under the scenario of increase in temperature of 2°C was 0.36 metric tonne per hectare and the economic loss of RM162, 530.53 per year. Under the scenario of both increases in temperature and CO2 level, the reduction in yield was 0.69 metric tonne per hectare. This can be translated to the economic loss of RM299,145.10 per year for the peninsular Malaysia. Some adaptation and mitigation strategies to overcome the adverse effects of climate change on rice production are recommended. IEEE 2010 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/45771/1/The%20potential%20impacts%20of%20climate%20change%20on%20the%20Malaysian%20rice%20economy.pdf Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin and Shamsudin, Mad Nasir (2010) The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy. In: 2010 World Automation Congress (WAC 2010), 19-23 Sept. 2010, Kobe, Japan. (pp. 171-175). https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/5665557/
spellingShingle Vaghefi, Seyedeh Negin
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title_full The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title_fullStr The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title_full_unstemmed The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title_short The potential impacts of climate change on the Malaysian rice economy
title_sort potential impacts of climate change on the malaysian rice economy
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/45771/1/The%20potential%20impacts%20of%20climate%20change%20on%20the%20Malaysian%20rice%20economy.pdf
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