Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia

The present paper analyzes the oil price pass-through into consumer price inflation for a developing country, Malaysia, using an augmented Phillips curve framework. The focus is on whether aggregate consumer prices and different consumer price components or sub-price indexes are related in different...

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Main Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor, Said, Rusmawati
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: School of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2011
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/48861/1/Disaggregated%20consumer%20prices%20and%20oil%20prices%20pass-through%20evidence%20from%20Malaysia.pdf
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author Ibrahim, Mansor
Said, Rusmawati
author_facet Ibrahim, Mansor
Said, Rusmawati
author_sort Ibrahim, Mansor
collection UPM
description The present paper analyzes the oil price pass-through into consumer price inflation for a developing country, Malaysia, using an augmented Phillips curve framework. The focus is on whether aggregate consumer prices and different consumer price components or sub-price indexes are related in different ways to oil price in the long run and in the short run. We find evidence for a long run relation or cointegration of the oil price with only the aggregate consumer price and food price indexes. Moreover, in the short run, the oil price changes have significant bearings on the consumer price inflation, the food price inflation, the rent, fuel and power price inflation and the transportation and communication price inflation. In addition, the short-run asymmetry in the oil price-food price inflation is also evident. Finally, we observe the neutrality of the medical care and health price index to the oil price changes. Our result that the inflationary consequence of oil price hikes is likely to work mainly through the food prices has important implications on the effects of oil price changes on the poor and policy directions to contain inflation.
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spelling upm.eprints-488612016-12-29T09:35:05Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/48861/ Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia Ibrahim, Mansor Said, Rusmawati The present paper analyzes the oil price pass-through into consumer price inflation for a developing country, Malaysia, using an augmented Phillips curve framework. The focus is on whether aggregate consumer prices and different consumer price components or sub-price indexes are related in different ways to oil price in the long run and in the short run. We find evidence for a long run relation or cointegration of the oil price with only the aggregate consumer price and food price indexes. Moreover, in the short run, the oil price changes have significant bearings on the consumer price inflation, the food price inflation, the rent, fuel and power price inflation and the transportation and communication price inflation. In addition, the short-run asymmetry in the oil price-food price inflation is also evident. Finally, we observe the neutrality of the medical care and health price index to the oil price changes. Our result that the inflationary consequence of oil price hikes is likely to work mainly through the food prices has important implications on the effects of oil price changes on the poor and policy directions to contain inflation. School of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2011 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/48861/1/Disaggregated%20consumer%20prices%20and%20oil%20prices%20pass-through%20evidence%20from%20Malaysia.pdf Ibrahim, Mansor and Said, Rusmawati (2011) Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia. In: Sixth Malaysian National Economic Conference (PERKEM VI), 5-7 June 2011, Melaka, Malaysia. (pp. 285-295). http://www.ukm.my/fep/perkem/contents/perkem2011-1-05.html
spellingShingle Ibrahim, Mansor
Said, Rusmawati
Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title_full Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title_fullStr Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title_short Disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass-through: evidence from Malaysia
title_sort disaggregated consumer prices and oil prices pass through evidence from malaysia
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/48861/1/Disaggregated%20consumer%20prices%20and%20oil%20prices%20pass-through%20evidence%20from%20Malaysia.pdf
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AT saidrusmawati disaggregatedconsumerpricesandoilpricespassthroughevidencefrommalaysia