Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction

Early prediction of diseases especially dengue fever in the case of Malaysia, is very crucial to enable health authorities to develop response strategies and context preventive intervention programs such as awareness campaigns for the high risk population before an outbreak occurs. Some of the defic...

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Main Authors: Husin, Nor Azura, Mustapha, Norwati, Sulaiman, Md. Nasir, Yaacob, Razali, Hamdan, Hazlina, Hussin, Masnida
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Science Publications 2016
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/53532/1/Performance%20of%20hybrid%20GANN%20in%20comparison%20with%20other%20standalone%20models%20on%20dengue%20outbreak%20prediction.pdf
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author Husin, Nor Azura
Mustapha, Norwati
Sulaiman, Md. Nasir
Yaacob, Razali
Hamdan, Hazlina
Hussin, Masnida
author_facet Husin, Nor Azura
Mustapha, Norwati
Sulaiman, Md. Nasir
Yaacob, Razali
Hamdan, Hazlina
Hussin, Masnida
author_sort Husin, Nor Azura
collection UPM
description Early prediction of diseases especially dengue fever in the case of Malaysia, is very crucial to enable health authorities to develop response strategies and context preventive intervention programs such as awareness campaigns for the high risk population before an outbreak occurs. Some of the deficiencies in dengue epidemiology are insufficient awareness on the parameter as well as the combination among them. Most of the studies on dengue prediction use standalone models which face problem of finding the appropriate parameter since they need to apply try and error approach. The aim of this paper is to conduct experiments for determining the best network structure that has effective variable and fitting parameters in predicting the spread of the dengue outbreak. Four model structures were designed in order to attain optimum prediction performance. The best model structure was selected as predicting model to solve the time series prediction of dengue. The result showed that neighboring location of dengue cases was very effective in predicting the dengue outbreak and it is proven that the hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Neural Network (GANN) model significantly outperforms standalone models namely regression and Neural Network (NN).
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spelling upm.eprints-535322017-11-06T10:15:52Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/53532/ Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction Husin, Nor Azura Mustapha, Norwati Sulaiman, Md. Nasir Yaacob, Razali Hamdan, Hazlina Hussin, Masnida Early prediction of diseases especially dengue fever in the case of Malaysia, is very crucial to enable health authorities to develop response strategies and context preventive intervention programs such as awareness campaigns for the high risk population before an outbreak occurs. Some of the deficiencies in dengue epidemiology are insufficient awareness on the parameter as well as the combination among them. Most of the studies on dengue prediction use standalone models which face problem of finding the appropriate parameter since they need to apply try and error approach. The aim of this paper is to conduct experiments for determining the best network structure that has effective variable and fitting parameters in predicting the spread of the dengue outbreak. Four model structures were designed in order to attain optimum prediction performance. The best model structure was selected as predicting model to solve the time series prediction of dengue. The result showed that neighboring location of dengue cases was very effective in predicting the dengue outbreak and it is proven that the hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Neural Network (GANN) model significantly outperforms standalone models namely regression and Neural Network (NN). Science Publications 2016 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/53532/1/Performance%20of%20hybrid%20GANN%20in%20comparison%20with%20other%20standalone%20models%20on%20dengue%20outbreak%20prediction.pdf Husin, Nor Azura and Mustapha, Norwati and Sulaiman, Md. Nasir and Yaacob, Razali and Hamdan, Hazlina and Hussin, Masnida (2016) Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction. Journal of Computer Science, 12 (6). pp. 300-306. ISSN 1549-3636; ESSN: 1552-6607 http://thescipub.com/abstract/10.3844/jcssp.2016.300.306 10.3844/jcssp.2016.300.306
spellingShingle Husin, Nor Azura
Mustapha, Norwati
Sulaiman, Md. Nasir
Yaacob, Razali
Hamdan, Hazlina
Hussin, Masnida
Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title_full Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title_fullStr Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title_full_unstemmed Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title_short Performance of hybrid GANN in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
title_sort performance of hybrid gann in comparison with other standalone models on dengue outbreak prediction
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/53532/1/Performance%20of%20hybrid%20GANN%20in%20comparison%20with%20other%20standalone%20models%20on%20dengue%20outbreak%20prediction.pdf
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