Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis

This paper examines the relationship between the prices of oil and food price for Indonesia using non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method. The bound test for co-integration for the NARDL model shows the evidence of co-integration between food price, growth rate of gross domestic pro...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim, Abdul Rahim, Khalid, Peter, Adamu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56401/1/Oil%20and%20food%20prices%20co-integration%20nexus%20for%20Indonesia%20a%20non-linear%20autoregressive%20distributed%20lag%20analysis.pdf
_version_ 1796976471003103232
author Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
Peter, Adamu
author_facet Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
Peter, Adamu
author_sort Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim
collection UPM
description This paper examines the relationship between the prices of oil and food price for Indonesia using non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method. The bound test for co-integration for the NARDL model shows the evidence of co-integration between food price, growth rate of gross domestic product and oil price. The estimated NARDL for the oil price in domestic currency provides strong evidence of long- and short-run co-integration between food and oil price when the latter increases while the relations for oil price reduction is not present and insignificant. The estimators of positive change in oil price model measured in US Dollar are significant in our study.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T09:26:17Z
format Article
id upm.eprints-56401
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T09:26:17Z
publishDate 2016
publisher EconJournals
record_format dspace
spelling upm.eprints-564012017-07-31T09:16:27Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56401/ Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim Abdul Rahim, Khalid Peter, Adamu This paper examines the relationship between the prices of oil and food price for Indonesia using non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method. The bound test for co-integration for the NARDL model shows the evidence of co-integration between food price, growth rate of gross domestic product and oil price. The estimated NARDL for the oil price in domestic currency provides strong evidence of long- and short-run co-integration between food and oil price when the latter increases while the relations for oil price reduction is not present and insignificant. The estimators of positive change in oil price model measured in US Dollar are significant in our study. EconJournals 2016 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56401/1/Oil%20and%20food%20prices%20co-integration%20nexus%20for%20Indonesia%20a%20non-linear%20autoregressive%20distributed%20lag%20analysis.pdf Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim and Abdul Rahim, Khalid and Peter, Adamu (2016) Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 6 (1). pp. 82-87. ISSN 2146-4553 http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/1698
spellingShingle Abdlaziz, Rizgar Abdlkarim
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
Peter, Adamu
Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title_full Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title_fullStr Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title_full_unstemmed Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title_short Oil and food prices co-integration nexus for Indonesia: a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
title_sort oil and food prices co integration nexus for indonesia a non linear autoregressive distributed lag analysis
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56401/1/Oil%20and%20food%20prices%20co-integration%20nexus%20for%20Indonesia%20a%20non-linear%20autoregressive%20distributed%20lag%20analysis.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT abdlazizrizgarabdlkarim oilandfoodpricescointegrationnexusforindonesiaanonlinearautoregressivedistributedlaganalysis
AT abdulrahimkhalid oilandfoodpricescointegrationnexusforindonesiaanonlinearautoregressivedistributedlaganalysis
AT peteradamu oilandfoodpricescointegrationnexusforindonesiaanonlinearautoregressivedistributedlaganalysis