Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies

In Malaysia, transportation accounts for almost 70% of carbon monoxide emissions. This study sought to discover whether intelligently changing policies for the private and public transport sectors can affect mode choice of private car owners in the Klang Valley, Malaysia. Results of a random paramet...

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Main Authors: Kaffashi, Sara, Shamsudin, Mad Nasir, Clark, Maynard S., Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi, Bazrbachi, Abdullatif, Radam, Alias, Usman, Adam Shehu, Abdul Rahim, Khalid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2016
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56434/1/Are%20Malaysians%20eager%20to%20use%20their%20cars%20less%20Forecasting%20mode%20choice%20behaviors%20under%20new%20policies.pdf
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author Kaffashi, Sara
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
Clark, Maynard S.
Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Bazrbachi, Abdullatif
Radam, Alias
Usman, Adam Shehu
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
author_facet Kaffashi, Sara
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
Clark, Maynard S.
Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Bazrbachi, Abdullatif
Radam, Alias
Usman, Adam Shehu
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
author_sort Kaffashi, Sara
collection UPM
description In Malaysia, transportation accounts for almost 70% of carbon monoxide emissions. This study sought to discover whether intelligently changing policies for the private and public transport sectors can affect mode choice of private car owners in the Klang Valley, Malaysia. Results of a random parameter logit model identified the most significant parameters affecting respondents’ utility measures. These were introducing a congestion fee in private transport mode; and also access, comfort and the frequency of the available public transport. Respondents’ marginal value estimates showed that they are willing to pay up to 175% of their hourly wage to have a more frequent and more accessible public transport. Moreover, the value of travel time showed that persons with longer commute time by car and bus are willing to pay more to save travel time. This is estimated about 25–50% of hourly wage of respondents. Simulation of results indicate that introducing the congestion fee has the largest impact both in modal shift and in reducing the number of cars used in the Klang Valley area. Overall results of this study suggested that any government intervention through innovative transport policy implementation such as pricing and providing more efficient public transport could result in 70% modal shift among current car users to public transport.
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spelling upm.eprints-564342017-07-31T09:51:15Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56434/ Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies Kaffashi, Sara Shamsudin, Mad Nasir Clark, Maynard S. Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi Bazrbachi, Abdullatif Radam, Alias Usman, Adam Shehu Abdul Rahim, Khalid In Malaysia, transportation accounts for almost 70% of carbon monoxide emissions. This study sought to discover whether intelligently changing policies for the private and public transport sectors can affect mode choice of private car owners in the Klang Valley, Malaysia. Results of a random parameter logit model identified the most significant parameters affecting respondents’ utility measures. These were introducing a congestion fee in private transport mode; and also access, comfort and the frequency of the available public transport. Respondents’ marginal value estimates showed that they are willing to pay up to 175% of their hourly wage to have a more frequent and more accessible public transport. Moreover, the value of travel time showed that persons with longer commute time by car and bus are willing to pay more to save travel time. This is estimated about 25–50% of hourly wage of respondents. Simulation of results indicate that introducing the congestion fee has the largest impact both in modal shift and in reducing the number of cars used in the Klang Valley area. Overall results of this study suggested that any government intervention through innovative transport policy implementation such as pricing and providing more efficient public transport could result in 70% modal shift among current car users to public transport. Elsevier 2016 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56434/1/Are%20Malaysians%20eager%20to%20use%20their%20cars%20less%20Forecasting%20mode%20choice%20behaviors%20under%20new%20policies.pdf Kaffashi, Sara and Shamsudin, Mad Nasir and Clark, Maynard S. and Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi and Bazrbachi, Abdullatif and Radam, Alias and Usman, Adam Shehu and Abdul Rahim, Khalid (2016) Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies. Land Use Policy, 56. pp. 274-290. ISSN 0264-8377; ESSN: 1873-5754 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837716304434 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.05.005
spellingShingle Kaffashi, Sara
Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
Clark, Maynard S.
Ahmad Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Bazrbachi, Abdullatif
Radam, Alias
Usman, Adam Shehu
Abdul Rahim, Khalid
Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title_full Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title_fullStr Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title_full_unstemmed Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title_short Are Malaysians eager to use their cars less? Forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
title_sort are malaysians eager to use their cars less forecasting mode choice behaviors under new policies
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/56434/1/Are%20Malaysians%20eager%20to%20use%20their%20cars%20less%20Forecasting%20mode%20choice%20behaviors%20under%20new%20policies.pdf
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