Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network
One of the most crucial prerequisites for effective wind power planning and operation in power systems is precise wind speed forecasting. Highly random fluctuations of wind influenced by the conditions of the atmosphere, weather and terrain result in difficulties of forecasting regardless of whether...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI
2017
|
| Online Access: | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/60782/1/Advanced%20wind%20speed%20prediction%20model%20based%20on%20combination%20of%20weibull%20distribution%20and%20artificial%20neural%20network.pdf |
| _version_ | 1796977364885831680 |
|---|---|
| author | Kadhem, Athraa Ali Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri Aris, Ishak Jasni, Jasronita Abdalla, Ahmed N. |
| author_facet | Kadhem, Athraa Ali Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri Aris, Ishak Jasni, Jasronita Abdalla, Ahmed N. |
| author_sort | Kadhem, Athraa Ali |
| collection | UPM |
| description | One of the most crucial prerequisites for effective wind power planning and operation in power systems is precise wind speed forecasting. Highly random fluctuations of wind influenced by the conditions of the atmosphere, weather and terrain result in difficulties of forecasting regardless of whether it is short-term or long-term. The current study has developed a method to model wind speed data predictions with dependence on seasonal wind variations over a particular time frame, usually a year, in the form of a Weibull distribution model with an artificial neural network (ANN). As a result, the essential dependencies between the wind speed and seasonal weather variation are exploited. The proposed model utilizes the ANN to predict the wind speed data, which has similar chronological and seasonal characteristics to the actual wind data. This model was applied to wind speed databases from selected sites in Malaysia, namely Mersing, Kudat, and Kuala Terengganu, to validate the proposed model. The results indicate that the proposed hybrid artificial neural network (HANN) model is capable of depicting the fluctuating wind speed during different seasons of the year at different locations. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T09:38:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | upm.eprints-60782 |
| institution | Universiti Putra Malaysia |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T09:38:59Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | MDPI |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | upm.eprints-607822019-04-24T14:32:45Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/60782/ Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network Kadhem, Athraa Ali Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri Aris, Ishak Jasni, Jasronita Abdalla, Ahmed N. One of the most crucial prerequisites for effective wind power planning and operation in power systems is precise wind speed forecasting. Highly random fluctuations of wind influenced by the conditions of the atmosphere, weather and terrain result in difficulties of forecasting regardless of whether it is short-term or long-term. The current study has developed a method to model wind speed data predictions with dependence on seasonal wind variations over a particular time frame, usually a year, in the form of a Weibull distribution model with an artificial neural network (ANN). As a result, the essential dependencies between the wind speed and seasonal weather variation are exploited. The proposed model utilizes the ANN to predict the wind speed data, which has similar chronological and seasonal characteristics to the actual wind data. This model was applied to wind speed databases from selected sites in Malaysia, namely Mersing, Kudat, and Kuala Terengganu, to validate the proposed model. The results indicate that the proposed hybrid artificial neural network (HANN) model is capable of depicting the fluctuating wind speed during different seasons of the year at different locations. MDPI 2017 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/60782/1/Advanced%20wind%20speed%20prediction%20model%20based%20on%20combination%20of%20weibull%20distribution%20and%20artificial%20neural%20network.pdf Kadhem, Athraa Ali and Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri and Aris, Ishak and Jasni, Jasronita and Abdalla, Ahmed N. (2017) Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network. Energies, 10 (11). pp. 1-17. ISSN 1996-1073; ESSN: 1996-1073 https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/10/11/1744 10.3390/en10111744 |
| spellingShingle | Kadhem, Athraa Ali Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri Aris, Ishak Jasni, Jasronita Abdalla, Ahmed N. Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title | Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title_full | Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title_fullStr | Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title_full_unstemmed | Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title_short | Advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| title_sort | advanced wind speed prediction model based on combination of weibull distribution and artificial neural network |
| url | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/60782/1/Advanced%20wind%20speed%20prediction%20model%20based%20on%20combination%20of%20weibull%20distribution%20and%20artificial%20neural%20network.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kadhemathraaali advancedwindspeedpredictionmodelbasedoncombinationofweibulldistributionandartificialneuralnetwork AT abdulwahabnoorizzri advancedwindspeedpredictionmodelbasedoncombinationofweibulldistributionandartificialneuralnetwork AT arisishak advancedwindspeedpredictionmodelbasedoncombinationofweibulldistributionandartificialneuralnetwork AT jasnijasronita advancedwindspeedpredictionmodelbasedoncombinationofweibulldistributionandartificialneuralnetwork AT abdallaahmedn advancedwindspeedpredictionmodelbasedoncombinationofweibulldistributionandartificialneuralnetwork |