Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia

Hydrological models are reliable tools that have been extensively used for hydrological studies. However, the complexity of some of these models has been a major setback, which affects their performance. This study compared Hydrologic Engineering Corps Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) with most...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ismail, Habibu, Kamal, Md. Rowshon, Lai, Sai Hin, Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Putra Malaysia Press 2020
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/72982/1/SWAT.pdf
_version_ 1825950161651630080
author Ismail, Habibu
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Lai, Sai Hin
Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri
author_facet Ismail, Habibu
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Lai, Sai Hin
Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri
author_sort Ismail, Habibu
collection UPM
description Hydrological models are reliable tools that have been extensively used for hydrological studies. However, the complexity of some of these models has been a major setback, which affects their performance. This study compared Hydrologic Engineering Corps Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) with most widely applied Soil Water Assessment Tool (ArcSWAT) model and used to assess impacts of climate change on streamflow at Bernam Basin, Malaysia for 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 to the baseline period (1976- 2005) using an ensemble of ten GCMs under three RCP scenarios (RCPs 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5). The models performed satisfactorily. However, HEC-HMS performed better compared to ArcSWAT with 0.74, 0.71, 4.21 and 0.37; and 0.71, 0.69, 5.32 and 0.31 for R2 , NSE, PBIAS and RSR, respectively, during the calibration and validation periods. Future periods suggest a decreasing pattern in streamflow, with a higher percentage (−5.94%) expected for the RCP 8.5 scenario in the late century (2080s) during dry season period. In the wet season, streamflow decreases in all future periods except for RCP4.5 where it is expected to increase (0.36%). Therefore, the Basin may likely experience tremendous pressure in the late century due to low streamflow, particularly in dry season months.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T10:10:23Z
format Article
id upm.eprints-72982
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T10:10:23Z
publishDate 2020
publisher Universiti Putra Malaysia Press
record_format dspace
spelling upm.eprints-729822021-08-18T01:30:14Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/72982/ Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia Ismail, Habibu Kamal, Md. Rowshon Lai, Sai Hin Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri Hydrological models are reliable tools that have been extensively used for hydrological studies. However, the complexity of some of these models has been a major setback, which affects their performance. This study compared Hydrologic Engineering Corps Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) with most widely applied Soil Water Assessment Tool (ArcSWAT) model and used to assess impacts of climate change on streamflow at Bernam Basin, Malaysia for 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 to the baseline period (1976- 2005) using an ensemble of ten GCMs under three RCP scenarios (RCPs 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5). The models performed satisfactorily. However, HEC-HMS performed better compared to ArcSWAT with 0.74, 0.71, 4.21 and 0.37; and 0.71, 0.69, 5.32 and 0.31 for R2 , NSE, PBIAS and RSR, respectively, during the calibration and validation periods. Future periods suggest a decreasing pattern in streamflow, with a higher percentage (−5.94%) expected for the RCP 8.5 scenario in the late century (2080s) during dry season period. In the wet season, streamflow decreases in all future periods except for RCP4.5 where it is expected to increase (0.36%). Therefore, the Basin may likely experience tremendous pressure in the late century due to low streamflow, particularly in dry season months. Universiti Putra Malaysia Press 2020 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/72982/1/SWAT.pdf Ismail, Habibu and Kamal, Md. Rowshon and Lai, Sai Hin and Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri (2020) Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia. Pertanika Journal of Science and Technology, 28 (3). pp. 1027-1048. ISSN 0128-7680; ESSN: 2231-8526 http://www.pertanika.upm.edu.my/pjst/browse/regular-issue?article=JST-1912-2020
spellingShingle Ismail, Habibu
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Lai, Sai Hin
Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri
Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title_full Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title_fullStr Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title_short Performance of HEC-HMS and ArcSWAT models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at Bernam River Basin in Malaysia
title_sort performance of hec hms and arcswat models for assessing climate change impacts on streamflow at bernam river basin in malaysia
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/72982/1/SWAT.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ismailhabibu performanceofhechmsandarcswatmodelsforassessingclimatechangeimpactsonstreamflowatbernamriverbasininmalaysia
AT kamalmdrowshon performanceofhechmsandarcswatmodelsforassessingclimatechangeimpactsonstreamflowatbernamriverbasininmalaysia
AT laisaihin performanceofhechmsandarcswatmodelsforassessingclimatechangeimpactsonstreamflowatbernamriverbasininmalaysia
AT abdullahahmadfikri performanceofhechmsandarcswatmodelsforassessingclimatechangeimpactsonstreamflowatbernamriverbasininmalaysia