Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection

Objective: To review the diagnostic test accuracy and predictive value of statistical models in differentiating the severity of dengue infection. Methods: Electronic searches were conducted in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE (compl...

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Main Authors: Kim, Gary Kuan Low, Kagize, Jackob, J. Faull, Katherine, Azahar, Aizad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/79372/1/Diagnostic%20accuracy%20and%20predictive%20value%20in%20differentiating%20the%20severity%20of%20dengue%20infection.pdf
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author Kim, Gary Kuan Low
Kagize, Jackob
J. Faull, Katherine
Azahar, Aizad
author_facet Kim, Gary Kuan Low
Kagize, Jackob
J. Faull, Katherine
Azahar, Aizad
author_sort Kim, Gary Kuan Low
collection UPM
description Objective: To review the diagnostic test accuracy and predictive value of statistical models in differentiating the severity of dengue infection. Methods: Electronic searches were conducted in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE (complete), PubMed and Scopus. Eligible studies to be included in this review were cohort studies with participants confirmed by laboratory test for dengue infection and comparison among the different severity of dengue infection by using statistical models. The methodological quality of the paper was assessed by independent reviewers using QUADAS-2. Results: Twenty-six studies published from 1994 to 2017 were included. Most diagnostic models produced an accuracy of 75% to 80% except one with 86%. Two models predicting severe dengue according to the WHO 2009 classification have 86% accuracy. Both of these logistic regression models were applied during the first three days of illness, and their sensitivity and specificity were 91-100% and 79.3-86%, respectively. Another model which evaluated the 30-day mortality of dengue infection had an accuracy of 98.5%. Conclusion: Although there are several potential predictive or diagnostic models for dengue infection, their limitations could affect their validity. It is recommended that these models be revalidated in other clinical settings and their methods be improved and standardised in future.
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spelling upm.eprints-793722021-03-26T03:02:33Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/79372/ Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection Kim, Gary Kuan Low Kagize, Jackob J. Faull, Katherine Azahar, Aizad Objective: To review the diagnostic test accuracy and predictive value of statistical models in differentiating the severity of dengue infection. Methods: Electronic searches were conducted in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE (complete), PubMed and Scopus. Eligible studies to be included in this review were cohort studies with participants confirmed by laboratory test for dengue infection and comparison among the different severity of dengue infection by using statistical models. The methodological quality of the paper was assessed by independent reviewers using QUADAS-2. Results: Twenty-six studies published from 1994 to 2017 were included. Most diagnostic models produced an accuracy of 75% to 80% except one with 86%. Two models predicting severe dengue according to the WHO 2009 classification have 86% accuracy. Both of these logistic regression models were applied during the first three days of illness, and their sensitivity and specificity were 91-100% and 79.3-86%, respectively. Another model which evaluated the 30-day mortality of dengue infection had an accuracy of 98.5%. Conclusion: Although there are several potential predictive or diagnostic models for dengue infection, their limitations could affect their validity. It is recommended that these models be revalidated in other clinical settings and their methods be improved and standardised in future. Wiley 2019-10 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/79372/1/Diagnostic%20accuracy%20and%20predictive%20value%20in%20differentiating%20the%20severity%20of%20dengue%20infection.pdf Kim, Gary Kuan Low and Kagize, Jackob and J. Faull, Katherine and Azahar, Aizad (2019) Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 24 (10). pp. 1169-1197. ISSN 1360-2276; ESSN: 1365-3156 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31373098/#:~:text=Most%20diagnostic%20models%20produced%20an,2009%20classification%20have%2086%25%20accuracy. 10.1111/tmi.13294
spellingShingle Kim, Gary Kuan Low
Kagize, Jackob
J. Faull, Katherine
Azahar, Aizad
Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title_full Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title_fullStr Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title_full_unstemmed Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title_short Diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
title_sort diagnostic accuracy and predictive value in differentiating the severity of dengue infection
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/79372/1/Diagnostic%20accuracy%20and%20predictive%20value%20in%20differentiating%20the%20severity%20of%20dengue%20infection.pdf
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