Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria

Detecting and predicting the impact of land use/land cover (LULC) changes on streamflow are crucial sources of information for the effective management and protection of land and water resources in Sahelian ecosystems such as the Hadejia river basin. In this study, LULC change detection was performe...

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Main Authors: Umar, Da'u Abba, Ramli, Mohammad Firuz, Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim, Jamil, Nor Rohaizah, Zaudi, Muhammad Amar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2021
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96634/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
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author Umar, Da'u Abba
Ramli, Mohammad Firuz
Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim
Jamil, Nor Rohaizah
Zaudi, Muhammad Amar
author_facet Umar, Da'u Abba
Ramli, Mohammad Firuz
Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim
Jamil, Nor Rohaizah
Zaudi, Muhammad Amar
author_sort Umar, Da'u Abba
collection UPM
description Detecting and predicting the impact of land use/land cover (LULC) changes on streamflow are crucial sources of information for the effective management and protection of land and water resources in Sahelian ecosystems such as the Hadejia river basin. In this study, LULC change detection was performed using ENVI, while the LULC modeling was conducted using the cellular automata (CA)–Markov in the IDRISI environment. However, the streamflow trend and variation were assessed using the Mann–Kendall (MK) trend test and the inverse distance weightage (IDW). Before the LULC modeling and projection (2030), the LULC was classified for 1990, 2000, and 2010 using supervised classification. Model output revealed a strong relationship between LULC and streamflow trend, thus, the decade 1990–2000 was the decade with high forest clearance and streamflow output, and consequently severe floods. However, the decade 2000–2010 witnessed land use expansion mainly via construction (3.4%). Meanwhile, the scenario will slightly change in the future as agriculture is projected to expand by about 9.3% from 2010 to 2030 due to the increased human population. Thus, food insecurity aggravated by climate change should be anticipated, and measures to avert/reduce their effects must be initiated.
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spelling upm.eprints-966342023-01-11T07:03:55Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96634/ Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria Umar, Da'u Abba Ramli, Mohammad Firuz Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim Jamil, Nor Rohaizah Zaudi, Muhammad Amar Detecting and predicting the impact of land use/land cover (LULC) changes on streamflow are crucial sources of information for the effective management and protection of land and water resources in Sahelian ecosystems such as the Hadejia river basin. In this study, LULC change detection was performed using ENVI, while the LULC modeling was conducted using the cellular automata (CA)–Markov in the IDRISI environment. However, the streamflow trend and variation were assessed using the Mann–Kendall (MK) trend test and the inverse distance weightage (IDW). Before the LULC modeling and projection (2030), the LULC was classified for 1990, 2000, and 2010 using supervised classification. Model output revealed a strong relationship between LULC and streamflow trend, thus, the decade 1990–2000 was the decade with high forest clearance and streamflow output, and consequently severe floods. However, the decade 2000–2010 witnessed land use expansion mainly via construction (3.4%). Meanwhile, the scenario will slightly change in the future as agriculture is projected to expand by about 9.3% from 2010 to 2030 due to the increased human population. Thus, food insecurity aggravated by climate change should be anticipated, and measures to avert/reduce their effects must be initiated. IWA Publishing 2021 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96634/1/ABSTRACT.pdf Umar, Da'u Abba and Ramli, Mohammad Firuz and Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim and Jamil, Nor Rohaizah and Zaudi, Muhammad Amar (2021) Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria. H2Open Journal, 4 (1). 92 - 113. ISSN 2616-6518 https://iwaponline.com/h2open/article/4/1/92/81999/Detection-and-prediction-of-land-use-change-impact 10.2166/h2oj.2021.065
spellingShingle Umar, Da'u Abba
Ramli, Mohammad Firuz
Tukur, Abubakar Ibrahim
Jamil, Nor Rohaizah
Zaudi, Muhammad Amar
Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title_full Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title_fullStr Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title_short Detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in Sahelian river basin, Northwestern Nigeria
title_sort detection and prediction of land use change impact on the streamflow regime in sahelian river basin northwestern nigeria
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96634/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
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