Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia

This study examines the usefulness of financial ratios in predicting the probability of financial distress in companies. These financially troubled companies have obtained court protection against their creditors under Section 176 of the Malaysian Companies Act, 1965. The findings suggest that th...

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Main Authors: Soo, Wah Low, Mat Nor, Fauzias, Yatim, Yatim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2001
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.usm.my/35469/1/6-1-4.pdf
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author Soo, Wah Low
Mat Nor, Fauzias
Yatim, Yatim
author_facet Soo, Wah Low
Mat Nor, Fauzias
Yatim, Yatim
author_sort Soo, Wah Low
collection USM
description This study examines the usefulness of financial ratios in predicting the probability of financial distress in companies. These financially troubled companies have obtained court protection against their creditors under Section 176 of the Malaysian Companies Act, 1965. The findings suggest that the fairly popular ratios of liquidity and profitability maybe somewhat deceiving. Interpretation of these two measures should be made carefully because high ratios by themselves do not necessarily imply that the company has sufficient money to pay its obligations. It is shown that the cash position of a company provides a better warning signal of financial deterioration and therefore should be emphasized in detecting financially distressed companies. The predictive ability of the model is tested on a holdout sample and the overall accuracy rate for the estimation and the holdout samples are 82.4% and 90% respectively. The findings provide a better understanding on the relevant factors that lead to corporate distress so that prompt actions could be taken to minimize the risk of financial distress.
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spelling usm.eprints-354692017-07-10T07:38:51Z http://eprints.usm.my/35469/ Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia Soo, Wah Low Mat Nor, Fauzias Yatim, Yatim HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management This study examines the usefulness of financial ratios in predicting the probability of financial distress in companies. These financially troubled companies have obtained court protection against their creditors under Section 176 of the Malaysian Companies Act, 1965. The findings suggest that the fairly popular ratios of liquidity and profitability maybe somewhat deceiving. Interpretation of these two measures should be made carefully because high ratios by themselves do not necessarily imply that the company has sufficient money to pay its obligations. It is shown that the cash position of a company provides a better warning signal of financial deterioration and therefore should be emphasized in detecting financially distressed companies. The predictive ability of the model is tested on a holdout sample and the overall accuracy rate for the estimation and the holdout samples are 82.4% and 90% respectively. The findings provide a better understanding on the relevant factors that lead to corporate distress so that prompt actions could be taken to minimize the risk of financial distress. Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2001 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.usm.my/35469/1/6-1-4.pdf Soo, Wah Low and Mat Nor, Fauzias and Yatim, Yatim (2001) Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia. Asian Academy of Management Journal (AAMJ), 6 (1). pp. 1-13. ISSN 1394-2603 http://web.usm.my/aamj/6.1.2001/6-1-4.pdf
spellingShingle HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
Soo, Wah Low
Mat Nor, Fauzias
Yatim, Yatim
Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title_full Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title_fullStr Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title_short Predicting Corporate Financial Distress Using The Logit Model: The Case Of Malaysia
title_sort predicting corporate financial distress using the logit model the case of malaysia
topic HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
url http://eprints.usm.my/35469/1/6-1-4.pdf
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