Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies

The aim of this study is to re-examine the well-known empirical puzzle of uncovered interest parity (UIP) for emerging market economies with different prediction time horizons. The empirical results obtained using dynamic panel and time series techniques for monthly data from January 1995 to Dece...

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Main Authors: Sarmidi, Tamat, Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.usm.my/36566/1/AAMJ_16.2.5.pdf
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author Sarmidi, Tamat
Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim
author_facet Sarmidi, Tamat
Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim
author_sort Sarmidi, Tamat
collection USM
description The aim of this study is to re-examine the well-known empirical puzzle of uncovered interest parity (UIP) for emerging market economies with different prediction time horizons. The empirical results obtained using dynamic panel and time series techniques for monthly data from January 1995 to December 2009 eventually show that the panel data estimates are more powerful than those obtained by applying individual time series estimations and the significant contribution of the exchange rate prediction horizons in determining the status of UIP. This finding reveals that at the longer time horizon, the model has better econometric specification and thus more predictive power for exchange rate movements compared to the shorter time period. The findings can also be a signalling of well-integrated currency markets and a reliable guide to international investors as well as for the orderly conduct of monetary authorities.
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spelling usm.eprints-365662017-09-18T04:53:27Z http://eprints.usm.my/36566/ Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies Sarmidi, Tamat Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management The aim of this study is to re-examine the well-known empirical puzzle of uncovered interest parity (UIP) for emerging market economies with different prediction time horizons. The empirical results obtained using dynamic panel and time series techniques for monthly data from January 1995 to December 2009 eventually show that the panel data estimates are more powerful than those obtained by applying individual time series estimations and the significant contribution of the exchange rate prediction horizons in determining the status of UIP. This finding reveals that at the longer time horizon, the model has better econometric specification and thus more predictive power for exchange rate movements compared to the shorter time period. The findings can also be a signalling of well-integrated currency markets and a reliable guide to international investors as well as for the orderly conduct of monetary authorities. Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2011 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.usm.my/36566/1/AAMJ_16.2.5.pdf Sarmidi, Tamat and Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim (2011) Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies. Asian Academy of Management Journal (AAMJ), 16 (2). pp. 1-24. ISSN 1394-2603 http://web.usm.my/aamj/16.2.2011/AAMJ_16.2.5.pdf
spellingShingle HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
Sarmidi, Tamat
Mohd Salleh, Norlida Hanim
Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title_full Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title_fullStr Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title_full_unstemmed Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title_short Time Horizon And Uncovered Interest Parity In Emerging Economies
title_sort time horizon and uncovered interest parity in emerging economies
topic HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
url http://eprints.usm.my/36566/1/AAMJ_16.2.5.pdf
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