Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai

China's economic growth heavily relies on fixed asset investment. Previous studies have demonstrated that GDP growth plays a key role in assessing Chinese local officials' performance and enhancing their chances of political promotion. Thus, local officials have a strong motivation to b...

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Main Authors: Yat , Hung Chiang, Lennon , H. T. Choy, Li, Jing
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.usm.my/42125/1/Art_6_jcdc17-1.pdf
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author Yat , Hung Chiang
Lennon , H. T. Choy
Li, Jing
author_facet Yat , Hung Chiang
Lennon , H. T. Choy
Li, Jing
author_sort Yat , Hung Chiang
collection USM
description China's economic growth heavily relies on fixed asset investment. Previous studies have demonstrated that GDP growth plays a key role in assessing Chinese local officials' performance and enhancing their chances of political promotion. Thus, local officials have a strong motivation to boost the economy, which also impacts the property market. Based on this notion, the empirical results of this study indicate that public expenditure fluctuations and residential property price movements in Shanghai were positively co-integrated from 1992 to 2009, suggesting that increased public expenditure has reshaped Shanghai's property cycle to have longer booms and shorter busts. The findings also shed light on the nature of property cycles in other large- and medium-sized Chinese cities and developing countries with rampant economic growth, low real interest rates and an increasing urban population.
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spelling usm.eprints-421252018-09-26T09:18:47Z http://eprints.usm.my/42125/ Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai Yat , Hung Chiang Lennon , H. T. Choy Li, Jing TH1-9745 Building construction China's economic growth heavily relies on fixed asset investment. Previous studies have demonstrated that GDP growth plays a key role in assessing Chinese local officials' performance and enhancing their chances of political promotion. Thus, local officials have a strong motivation to boost the economy, which also impacts the property market. Based on this notion, the empirical results of this study indicate that public expenditure fluctuations and residential property price movements in Shanghai were positively co-integrated from 1992 to 2009, suggesting that increased public expenditure has reshaped Shanghai's property cycle to have longer booms and shorter busts. The findings also shed light on the nature of property cycles in other large- and medium-sized Chinese cities and developing countries with rampant economic growth, low real interest rates and an increasing urban population. Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2012 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.usm.my/42125/1/Art_6_jcdc17-1.pdf Yat , Hung Chiang and Lennon , H. T. Choy and Li, Jing (2012) Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai. Journal of Construction in Developing Countries , 17 (1). pp. 85-99. ISSN 1823-6499 http://web.usm.my/jcdc/vol17_1_2012/Art%206_jcdc17-1.pdf
spellingShingle TH1-9745 Building construction
Yat , Hung Chiang
Lennon , H. T. Choy
Li, Jing
Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title_full Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title_fullStr Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title_full_unstemmed Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title_short Public Expenditure And Property Cycle: The Case In Shanghai
title_sort public expenditure and property cycle the case in shanghai
topic TH1-9745 Building construction
url http://eprints.usm.my/42125/1/Art_6_jcdc17-1.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT yathungchiang publicexpenditureandpropertycyclethecaseinshanghai
AT lennonhtchoy publicexpenditureandpropertycyclethecaseinshanghai
AT lijing publicexpenditureandpropertycyclethecaseinshanghai