Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique

Electric theft is the major issue faced by utility companies in different countries as it causes significant revenue losses and affects the power grid reliability. This paper presents a novel electric theft detection framework based on an unsupervised machine learning technique employing matrix prof...

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Main Authors: Hussain, Saddam, Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir, James, Steve Ernest, Baloch, Shadi Khan
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Published: 2022
Subjects:
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author Hussain, Saddam
Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir
James, Steve Ernest
Baloch, Shadi Khan
author_facet Hussain, Saddam
Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir
James, Steve Ernest
Baloch, Shadi Khan
author_sort Hussain, Saddam
collection ePrints
description Electric theft is the major issue faced by utility companies in different countries as it causes significant revenue losses and affects the power grid reliability. This paper presents a novel electric theft detection framework based on an unsupervised machine learning technique employing matrix profile and K-means clustering algorithm. The proposed framework is based on three stages to identify the fraudster consumers in a conventional electric consumption meter dataset acquired from Pakistan's power distribution company. Initially, the missing and inconsistent observations are filtered out from the acquired dataset. After that, the matrix profile from each consumer’s consumption profile is computed to identify the irregular and sudden changes present in them. Later, the K-means clustering algorithm is used on the datasets divided based on their computed matrix profile values in order to label each consumer into “Healthy” and Theft.” The developed framework is compared against the latest state of art machine learning algorithms and statistical-based outlier detection methods. The proposed technique achieved an accuracy of 93% and a detection rate of 91%, which is greater than all compared models.
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institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia - ePrints
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spelling utm.eprints-1005802023-04-17T07:11:58Z http://eprints.utm.my/100580/ Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique Hussain, Saddam Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir James, Steve Ernest Baloch, Shadi Khan TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Electric theft is the major issue faced by utility companies in different countries as it causes significant revenue losses and affects the power grid reliability. This paper presents a novel electric theft detection framework based on an unsupervised machine learning technique employing matrix profile and K-means clustering algorithm. The proposed framework is based on three stages to identify the fraudster consumers in a conventional electric consumption meter dataset acquired from Pakistan's power distribution company. Initially, the missing and inconsistent observations are filtered out from the acquired dataset. After that, the matrix profile from each consumer’s consumption profile is computed to identify the irregular and sudden changes present in them. Later, the K-means clustering algorithm is used on the datasets divided based on their computed matrix profile values in order to label each consumer into “Healthy” and Theft.” The developed framework is compared against the latest state of art machine learning algorithms and statistical-based outlier detection methods. The proposed technique achieved an accuracy of 93% and a detection rate of 91%, which is greater than all compared models. 2022 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed Hussain, Saddam and Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir and James, Steve Ernest and Baloch, Shadi Khan (2022) Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique. In: International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Machine Learning, ICCIML 2021, 1 June 2021 - 2 June 2021, Virtual, Online. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8484-5_2
spellingShingle TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Hussain, Saddam
Mustafa, Mohd. Wazir
James, Steve Ernest
Baloch, Shadi Khan
Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title_full Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title_fullStr Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title_full_unstemmed Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title_short Electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning-based matrix profile and K-means clustering technique
title_sort electric theft detection using unsupervised machine learning based matrix profile and k means clustering technique
topic TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
work_keys_str_mv AT hussainsaddam electrictheftdetectionusingunsupervisedmachinelearningbasedmatrixprofileandkmeansclusteringtechnique
AT mustafamohdwazir electrictheftdetectionusingunsupervisedmachinelearningbasedmatrixprofileandkmeansclusteringtechnique
AT jamessteveernest electrictheftdetectionusingunsupervisedmachinelearningbasedmatrixprofileandkmeansclusteringtechnique
AT balochshadikhan electrictheftdetectionusingunsupervisedmachinelearningbasedmatrixprofileandkmeansclusteringtechnique