Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah.
Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Science and Information Organization
2023
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| Online Access: | http://eprints.utm.my/105366/1/AzmirulAshaari2023_ImplementationofRevisedHeuristicKnowledgeinAverage.pdf |
| _version_ | 1811132115400523776 |
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| author | Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul |
| author_facet | Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul |
| author_sort | Lasaraiya, Suriana |
| collection | ePrints |
| description | Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge to basic average-based interval and showing that these models forecast better than the basic one. We suggest three different lengths of interval, size 5, size 10 and size 20 to be used in comparing these models of average-based interval, average-based interval with implementation of heuristic knowledge and, average-based interval with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge. These models applied to forecast the number of tuberculosis cases reported monthly in Sabah starting from January 2012 until December 2019. A few numerical examples are shown as well. The performances of evaluations are shown by comparison on the values obtained by Mean Square error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T23:57:10Z |
| format | Article |
| id | utm.eprints-105366 |
| institution | Universiti Teknologi Malaysia - ePrints |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T23:57:10Z |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publisher | Science and Information Organization |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | utm.eprints-1053662024-04-24T06:39:53Z http://eprints.utm.my/105366/ Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul RA Public aspects of medicine Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge to basic average-based interval and showing that these models forecast better than the basic one. We suggest three different lengths of interval, size 5, size 10 and size 20 to be used in comparing these models of average-based interval, average-based interval with implementation of heuristic knowledge and, average-based interval with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge. These models applied to forecast the number of tuberculosis cases reported monthly in Sabah starting from January 2012 until December 2019. A few numerical examples are shown as well. The performances of evaluations are shown by comparison on the values obtained by Mean Square error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Science and Information Organization 2023 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/105366/1/AzmirulAshaari2023_ImplementationofRevisedHeuristicKnowledgeinAverage.pdf Lasaraiya, Suriana and Zenian, Suzelawati and Mat Hasim, Risman and Ashaari, Azmirul (2023) Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. International Journal Of Advanced Computer Science And Applications, 14 (4). pp. 190-196. ISSN 2158-107X http://dx.doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2023.0140422 DOI: 10.14569/IJACSA.2023.0140422 |
| spellingShingle | RA Public aspects of medicine Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title_full | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title_fullStr | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title_short | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. |
| title_sort | implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in sabah |
| topic | RA Public aspects of medicine |
| url | http://eprints.utm.my/105366/1/AzmirulAshaari2023_ImplementationofRevisedHeuristicKnowledgeinAverage.pdf |
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