Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)

Inspection data obtained from in-line inspection is useful to assess present integrity as well as to predict future integrity of pipeline by using statistical and probabilistic analyses and simulation process. However, numerical errors arise when all the inspection data are used in the analysis. Num...

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Main Author: Ann, See Peng
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/11446/1/AnnSeePengMFKA2008.pdf
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author Ann, See Peng
author_facet Ann, See Peng
author_sort Ann, See Peng
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description Inspection data obtained from in-line inspection is useful to assess present integrity as well as to predict future integrity of pipeline by using statistical and probabilistic analyses and simulation process. However, numerical errors arise when all the inspection data are used in the analysis. Numerical error arises because failure probability due to a single extreme corrosion out of huge quantity of corrosion data has been greatly reduced. Thus, in this study, extreme values analysis using extreme value theory, peaks-over-threshold method or combination of both methods is adopted to analyze the inspection data. This aims to eliminate the “low-risk” data in the analysis in order for extreme values to be emphasized. Based on the result, high threshold value will lead to high failure probability. However, the optimum threshold value is limited by the number of remaining data. Meanwhile, extreme value distribution is also efficient in indicating an early failure probability. Instead, combination of both methods results an overestimated failure probability.
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spelling utm.eprints-114462018-07-23T05:37:10Z http://eprints.utm.my/11446/ Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline) Ann, See Peng TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Inspection data obtained from in-line inspection is useful to assess present integrity as well as to predict future integrity of pipeline by using statistical and probabilistic analyses and simulation process. However, numerical errors arise when all the inspection data are used in the analysis. Numerical error arises because failure probability due to a single extreme corrosion out of huge quantity of corrosion data has been greatly reduced. Thus, in this study, extreme values analysis using extreme value theory, peaks-over-threshold method or combination of both methods is adopted to analyze the inspection data. This aims to eliminate the “low-risk” data in the analysis in order for extreme values to be emphasized. Based on the result, high threshold value will lead to high failure probability. However, the optimum threshold value is limited by the number of remaining data. Meanwhile, extreme value distribution is also efficient in indicating an early failure probability. Instead, combination of both methods results an overestimated failure probability. 2008-06 Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/11446/1/AnnSeePengMFKA2008.pdf Ann, See Peng (2008) Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline). Masters thesis, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Civil Engineering.
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Ann, See Peng
Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title_full Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title_fullStr Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title_full_unstemmed Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title_short Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
title_sort extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline case study of o242 1mm pipeline
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
url http://eprints.utm.my/11446/1/AnnSeePengMFKA2008.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT annseepeng extremegrowthbehaviourofcorrosionpitinhydrocarbonpipelinecasestudyofø2421mmpipeline