The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan

The SLEUTH model developed by Clarke, based on the Cellular Automata (CA) city expansion development theory, can be applied to city development simulation in metropolitan areas. If we want to predict urban development trends, many microcosmic changes of parameter can cause major changes in the predi...

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Main Authors: Yea, Chung Ding, Yong, Kui Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/2862/1/6_THE_SIMULATION_OF_URBAN_GROWTH_APPLYING_SLEUTH.pdf
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author Yea, Chung Ding
Yong, Kui Zhang
author_facet Yea, Chung Ding
Yong, Kui Zhang
author_sort Yea, Chung Ding
collection ePrints
description The SLEUTH model developed by Clarke, based on the Cellular Automata (CA) city expansion development theory, can be applied to city development simulation in metropolitan areas. If we want to predict urban development trends, many microcosmic changes of parameter can cause major changes in the predicted result due to the complexity and indefinite nature of parameters. The SLEUTH model has been applied to the Silicon Valley of San Francisco and in Washington D.C. In fact, there have been good results applying this method in other countries such as Australia, Vietnam, Egypt and Portugal. In this study we explore the simulation of urban growth applying SLEUTH model to three cities: Yilan, Luodong and Suao in the Yilan Delta area of northeast Taiwan to study the dynamics of the region using historical data. After carrying out the SLEUTH prediction method, we found that the result of its application for predicting city development in the Yilan Delta area shows that the cities of Yilan and Luodong are developing and expanding more evenly from the city center, partly because of their large dockland areas, while Suao city has expanded only along the main road, due to the limit of the steep mountain slope inland. However, if one wants to improve the dependability of the prediction, one must consider the influence of fast changes in urban social systems in Taiwan.
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spelling utm.eprints-28622020-02-27T06:56:00Z http://eprints.utm.my/2862/ The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan Yea, Chung Ding Yong, Kui Zhang NA Architecture The SLEUTH model developed by Clarke, based on the Cellular Automata (CA) city expansion development theory, can be applied to city development simulation in metropolitan areas. If we want to predict urban development trends, many microcosmic changes of parameter can cause major changes in the predicted result due to the complexity and indefinite nature of parameters. The SLEUTH model has been applied to the Silicon Valley of San Francisco and in Washington D.C. In fact, there have been good results applying this method in other countries such as Australia, Vietnam, Egypt and Portugal. In this study we explore the simulation of urban growth applying SLEUTH model to three cities: Yilan, Luodong and Suao in the Yilan Delta area of northeast Taiwan to study the dynamics of the region using historical data. After carrying out the SLEUTH prediction method, we found that the result of its application for predicting city development in the Yilan Delta area shows that the cities of Yilan and Luodong are developing and expanding more evenly from the city center, partly because of their large dockland areas, while Suao city has expanded only along the main road, due to the limit of the steep mountain slope inland. However, if one wants to improve the dependability of the prediction, one must consider the influence of fast changes in urban social systems in Taiwan. 2007 Article NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/2862/1/6_THE_SIMULATION_OF_URBAN_GROWTH_APPLYING_SLEUTH.pdf Yea, Chung Ding and Yong, Kui Zhang (2007) The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan. (Unpublished)
spellingShingle NA Architecture
Yea, Chung Ding
Yong, Kui Zhang
The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title_full The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title_fullStr The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title_short The simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in Taiwan
title_sort simulation of urban growth applying sleuth ca model to the yilan delta in taiwan
topic NA Architecture
url http://eprints.utm.my/2862/1/6_THE_SIMULATION_OF_URBAN_GROWTH_APPLYING_SLEUTH.pdf
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