Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia

This study attempts to predict financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia using financial distress companies as the dependent variable and financial ratios as the independent variables. Logit Analysis was used as the analysis procedure because financial ratios do not ha...

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Main Authors: Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian, Salamudin, Norhana, Ahmad, Ismail
Format: Article
Published: Penerbit UTM Press 2013
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author Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian
Salamudin, Norhana
Ahmad, Ismail
author_facet Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian
Salamudin, Norhana
Ahmad, Ismail
author_sort Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian
collection ePrints
description This study attempts to predict financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia using financial distress companies as the dependent variable and financial ratios as the independent variables. Logit Analysis was used as the analysis procedure because financial ratios do not have to be normal if it is used. It is also suitable when the dependent variable is binary in nature. Furthermore, it can also provide the probability of a company being financially distress. In addition, it can also provide us with the sign of the independent variable(s). This study found that the independent variables that can be used to predict financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia were debt ratio, total assets turnover ratio and working capital ratio. The findings from the internal validation showed that the prediction model provided a more than 50% chance that the model is accurate for five years before distress. Furthermore, the findings from the external validation showed that the model might be able to be used outside the estimation time period because the overall percentage accuracy were higher than 50% for five years before distress.
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spelling utm.eprints-410122017-11-01T04:17:11Z http://eprints.utm.my/41012/ Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian Salamudin, Norhana Ahmad, Ismail This study attempts to predict financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia using financial distress companies as the dependent variable and financial ratios as the independent variables. Logit Analysis was used as the analysis procedure because financial ratios do not have to be normal if it is used. It is also suitable when the dependent variable is binary in nature. Furthermore, it can also provide the probability of a company being financially distress. In addition, it can also provide us with the sign of the independent variable(s). This study found that the independent variables that can be used to predict financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia were debt ratio, total assets turnover ratio and working capital ratio. The findings from the internal validation showed that the prediction model provided a more than 50% chance that the model is accurate for five years before distress. Furthermore, the findings from the external validation showed that the model might be able to be used outside the estimation time period because the overall percentage accuracy were higher than 50% for five years before distress. Penerbit UTM Press 2013 Article PeerReviewed Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian and Salamudin, Norhana and Ahmad, Ismail (2013) Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia. Jurnal Teknologi (Sains Sosial), 64 (1). pp. 85-91. ISSN 2180-3722
spellingShingle Alifiah, Mohd. Norfian
Salamudin, Norhana
Ahmad, Ismail
Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title_full Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title_fullStr Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title_short Prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in Malaysia
title_sort prediction of financial distress companies in the consumer products sector in malaysia
work_keys_str_mv AT alifiahmohdnorfian predictionoffinancialdistresscompaniesintheconsumerproductssectorinmalaysia
AT salamudinnorhana predictionoffinancialdistresscompaniesintheconsumerproductssectorinmalaysia
AT ahmadismail predictionoffinancialdistresscompaniesintheconsumerproductssectorinmalaysia