Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model

The reason of the power transformer (PT) monitoring is to prevent the failure of the PT. There are many methods to detect the failure of the PT. The methods include Conventional Monitoring System (CMS), Polarization Depolarization Current (PDC) Analysis, and Hidden Markov Model (HMM). The CMS gives...

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Main Author: Loo, Yau Teng
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/48586/1/LooYauTengMFKE2014.pdf
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author Loo, Yau Teng
author_facet Loo, Yau Teng
author_sort Loo, Yau Teng
collection ePrints
description The reason of the power transformer (PT) monitoring is to prevent the failure of the PT. There are many methods to detect the failure of the PT. The methods include Conventional Monitoring System (CMS), Polarization Depolarization Current (PDC) Analysis, and Hidden Markov Model (HMM). The CMS gives the current condition of PT but it cannot give reliable failure prediction. The PDC involves complicated setup at site and the measurement is done when the PT is off line (shutdown) which is not preferable. HMM is a prediction model based on dissolved gas analysis (DGA) database. Its accuracy is believed to be further improved when more DGA data are available with the passing of time. The main focus of this project is to obtain the PT failure time estimates with an error of less than or equal to 10%. Mathematical models were used to predict the PT condition at several stages by knowing the current DGA data. Result shows the accuracy of 90% in transformer level prediction, means that 9 accurate results out of 10 transformers tested. The technique can be used to predict the transformer deterioration level and to prevent transformer failure which can lead to tremendous losses to company. The result will assist the maintenance personnel to make various maintenance decisions with cost effective way.
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spelling utm.eprints-485862017-08-02T07:38:58Z http://eprints.utm.my/48586/ Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model Loo, Yau Teng TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery The reason of the power transformer (PT) monitoring is to prevent the failure of the PT. There are many methods to detect the failure of the PT. The methods include Conventional Monitoring System (CMS), Polarization Depolarization Current (PDC) Analysis, and Hidden Markov Model (HMM). The CMS gives the current condition of PT but it cannot give reliable failure prediction. The PDC involves complicated setup at site and the measurement is done when the PT is off line (shutdown) which is not preferable. HMM is a prediction model based on dissolved gas analysis (DGA) database. Its accuracy is believed to be further improved when more DGA data are available with the passing of time. The main focus of this project is to obtain the PT failure time estimates with an error of less than or equal to 10%. Mathematical models were used to predict the PT condition at several stages by knowing the current DGA data. Result shows the accuracy of 90% in transformer level prediction, means that 9 accurate results out of 10 transformers tested. The technique can be used to predict the transformer deterioration level and to prevent transformer failure which can lead to tremendous losses to company. The result will assist the maintenance personnel to make various maintenance decisions with cost effective way. 2014 Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/48586/1/LooYauTengMFKE2014.pdf Loo, Yau Teng (2014) Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model. Masters thesis, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Electrical Engineering. http://dms.library.utm.my:8080/vital/access/manager/Repository/vital:81881?queryType=vitalDismax&query=Power+transformers+condition+monitoring+using+dissolved+gas+analysis+and+hidden+markov+prediction+model&public=true
spellingShingle TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
Loo, Yau Teng
Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title_full Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title_fullStr Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title_full_unstemmed Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title_short Power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
title_sort power transformers condition monitoring using dissolved gas analysis and hidden markov prediction model
topic TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
url http://eprints.utm.my/48586/1/LooYauTengMFKE2014.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT looyauteng powertransformersconditionmonitoringusingdissolvedgasanalysisandhiddenmarkovpredictionmodel