Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia

This study evaluates three proposals against the baseline scenario of existing practices to reduce climate damage in Malaysia using an ‘Empirical Regional Downscaling Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy’, which was deployed using a top-down disaggregation approach. This model took ac...

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Main Authors: Rasiah, R., Al-Amin, A. Q., Ahmed, A., Filho, W. L., Calvo, E.
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2016
Subjects:
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author Rasiah, R.
Al-Amin, A. Q.
Ahmed, A.
Filho, W. L.
Calvo, E.
author_facet Rasiah, R.
Al-Amin, A. Q.
Ahmed, A.
Filho, W. L.
Calvo, E.
author_sort Rasiah, R.
collection ePrints
description This study evaluates three proposals against the baseline scenario of existing practices to reduce climate damage in Malaysia using an ‘Empirical Regional Downscaling Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy’, which was deployed using a top-down disaggregation approach. This model took account of a temperature increase cap of 1.5°C, (which was defined at the Paris Declaration of 2015), reasonable changes in the macroeconomic variables, and the climate variables of carbon emission reduction, climate damage, carbon emission control, and carbon concentration that were estimated based on records of global warming climate factors and predicted climate targets over the period 2010–2110. The three proposals evaluated are Stern, Nordhaus, and Malaysia's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) to COP21. The costs of climate damage under the prevailing scenario will reach MYR40,128 (US$ 11,631) billion. The commensurate climate damage costs of the Stern and Nordhaus proposals will be MYR5,483 (US$ 1,589) billion and MYR6,068 (US$ 1,759) billion respectively. It will only be MYR5,264 (US$ 1526) billion under Malaysia's INDC of the COP21 regime. Thus, the most effective proposal for reducing climate damage in Malaysia over the period 2010–2110 is Malaysia's INDC to the COP21 proposal.
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spelling utm.eprints-715522017-11-16T08:41:51Z http://eprints.utm.my/71552/ Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia Rasiah, R. Al-Amin, A. Q. Ahmed, A. Filho, W. L. Calvo, E. TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) This study evaluates three proposals against the baseline scenario of existing practices to reduce climate damage in Malaysia using an ‘Empirical Regional Downscaling Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy’, which was deployed using a top-down disaggregation approach. This model took account of a temperature increase cap of 1.5°C, (which was defined at the Paris Declaration of 2015), reasonable changes in the macroeconomic variables, and the climate variables of carbon emission reduction, climate damage, carbon emission control, and carbon concentration that were estimated based on records of global warming climate factors and predicted climate targets over the period 2010–2110. The three proposals evaluated are Stern, Nordhaus, and Malaysia's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) to COP21. The costs of climate damage under the prevailing scenario will reach MYR40,128 (US$ 11,631) billion. The commensurate climate damage costs of the Stern and Nordhaus proposals will be MYR5,483 (US$ 1,589) billion and MYR6,068 (US$ 1,759) billion respectively. It will only be MYR5,264 (US$ 1526) billion under Malaysia's INDC of the COP21 regime. Thus, the most effective proposal for reducing climate damage in Malaysia over the period 2010–2110 is Malaysia's INDC to the COP21 proposal. Elsevier Ltd 2016 Article PeerReviewed Rasiah, R. and Al-Amin, A. Q. and Ahmed, A. and Filho, W. L. and Calvo, E. (2016) Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia. Journal of Cleaner Production, 133 . pp. 272-283. ISSN 0959-6526 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84988826338&doi=10.1016%2fj.jclepro.2016.05.145&partnerID=40&md5=0b67a8e1d517b2cbeb66909aa6c81e7e
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Rasiah, R.
Al-Amin, A. Q.
Ahmed, A.
Filho, W. L.
Calvo, E.
Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title_full Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title_fullStr Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title_short Climate mitigation roadmap: assessing low carbon scenarios for Malaysia
title_sort climate mitigation roadmap assessing low carbon scenarios for malaysia
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
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AT ahmeda climatemitigationroadmapassessinglowcarbonscenariosformalaysia
AT filhowl climatemitigationroadmapassessinglowcarbonscenariosformalaysia
AT calvoe climatemitigationroadmapassessinglowcarbonscenariosformalaysia