Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility r...
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World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd
2018
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author | Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu Majid, Mazlan Loganathan, Nanthakumar Devadason, Evelyn S. |
author_facet | Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu Majid, Mazlan Loganathan, Nanthakumar Devadason, Evelyn S. |
author_sort | Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu |
collection | ePrints |
description | The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility rates (FRs), the empirical findings from previous studies remains at best mixed. This study therefore identifies the determinants of female fertility for the countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5 countries), spanning the period 1980-2010. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration and causality techniques, the main findings of the study are summarized as follows: First, a long-run (LR) stable relationship is evident between female fertility, female labor force participation, income and infant mortality for ASEAN-5. Second, there is a deviation of FRs from the short-run (SR) to the LR equilibrium for ASEAN-5, with the highest and lowest speed of adjustment recorded for Malaysia and Thailand, respectively. Third, FR and economic stability are found to be complementary in the LR for ASEAN-5. When the joint LR and SR causalities are considered, we found that female labor force participation, income and infant mortality have dynamic relationships with FR for all the five ASEAN countries. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-05T20:33:34Z |
format | Article |
id | utm.eprints-84682 |
institution | Universiti Teknologi Malaysia - ePrints |
last_indexed | 2024-03-05T20:33:34Z |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | utm.eprints-846822020-02-27T04:52:39Z http://eprints.utm.my/84682/ Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu Majid, Mazlan Loganathan, Nanthakumar Devadason, Evelyn S. HD28 Management. Industrial Management The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility rates (FRs), the empirical findings from previous studies remains at best mixed. This study therefore identifies the determinants of female fertility for the countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5 countries), spanning the period 1980-2010. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration and causality techniques, the main findings of the study are summarized as follows: First, a long-run (LR) stable relationship is evident between female fertility, female labor force participation, income and infant mortality for ASEAN-5. Second, there is a deviation of FRs from the short-run (SR) to the LR equilibrium for ASEAN-5, with the highest and lowest speed of adjustment recorded for Malaysia and Thailand, respectively. Third, FR and economic stability are found to be complementary in the LR for ASEAN-5. When the joint LR and SR causalities are considered, we found that female labor force participation, income and infant mortality have dynamic relationships with FR for all the five ASEAN countries. World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd 2018-06 Article PeerReviewed Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu and Majid, Mazlan and Loganathan, Nanthakumar and Devadason, Evelyn S. (2018) Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5. Jati-Journal of Southeast Asian Studies, 63 (3). pp. 593-618. ISSN 0217-5908 http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500939 |
spellingShingle | HD28 Management. Industrial Management Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu Majid, Mazlan Loganathan, Nanthakumar Devadason, Evelyn S. Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title | Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title_full | Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title_fullStr | Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title_full_unstemmed | Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title_short | Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 |
title_sort | causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in asean 5 |
topic | HD28 Management. Industrial Management |
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