Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5

The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility r...

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Main Authors: Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu, Majid, Mazlan, Loganathan, Nanthakumar, Devadason, Evelyn S.
Format: Article
Published: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd 2018
Subjects:
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author Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu
Majid, Mazlan
Loganathan, Nanthakumar
Devadason, Evelyn S.
author_facet Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu
Majid, Mazlan
Loganathan, Nanthakumar
Devadason, Evelyn S.
author_sort Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu
collection ePrints
description The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility rates (FRs), the empirical findings from previous studies remains at best mixed. This study therefore identifies the determinants of female fertility for the countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5 countries), spanning the period 1980-2010. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration and causality techniques, the main findings of the study are summarized as follows: First, a long-run (LR) stable relationship is evident between female fertility, female labor force participation, income and infant mortality for ASEAN-5. Second, there is a deviation of FRs from the short-run (SR) to the LR equilibrium for ASEAN-5, with the highest and lowest speed of adjustment recorded for Malaysia and Thailand, respectively. Third, FR and economic stability are found to be complementary in the LR for ASEAN-5. When the joint LR and SR causalities are considered, we found that female labor force participation, income and infant mortality have dynamic relationships with FR for all the five ASEAN countries.
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spelling utm.eprints-846822020-02-27T04:52:39Z http://eprints.utm.my/84682/ Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5 Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu Majid, Mazlan Loganathan, Nanthakumar Devadason, Evelyn S. HD28 Management. Industrial Management The ASEAN countries have been experiencing drastic declines in fertility of more than 10 percent, particularly since the 1990s. Though the literature on fertility has clearly delineated the importance of income, female labor force participation and infant mortality as key determinants of fertility rates (FRs), the empirical findings from previous studies remains at best mixed. This study therefore identifies the determinants of female fertility for the countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5 countries), spanning the period 1980-2010. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration and causality techniques, the main findings of the study are summarized as follows: First, a long-run (LR) stable relationship is evident between female fertility, female labor force participation, income and infant mortality for ASEAN-5. Second, there is a deviation of FRs from the short-run (SR) to the LR equilibrium for ASEAN-5, with the highest and lowest speed of adjustment recorded for Malaysia and Thailand, respectively. Third, FR and economic stability are found to be complementary in the LR for ASEAN-5. When the joint LR and SR causalities are considered, we found that female labor force participation, income and infant mortality have dynamic relationships with FR for all the five ASEAN countries. World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd 2018-06 Article PeerReviewed Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu and Majid, Mazlan and Loganathan, Nanthakumar and Devadason, Evelyn S. (2018) Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5. Jati-Journal of Southeast Asian Studies, 63 (3). pp. 593-618. ISSN 0217-5908 http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500939
spellingShingle HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Subramaniam, Thirunaukarasu
Majid, Mazlan
Loganathan, Nanthakumar
Devadason, Evelyn S.
Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title_full Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title_fullStr Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title_full_unstemmed Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title_short Causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in Asean-5
title_sort causality between female fertility and female labour force participation in asean 5
topic HD28 Management. Industrial Management
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AT majidmazlan causalitybetweenfemalefertilityandfemalelabourforceparticipationinasean5
AT loganathannanthakumar causalitybetweenfemalefertilityandfemalelabourforceparticipationinasean5
AT devadasonevelyns causalitybetweenfemalefertilityandfemalelabourforceparticipationinasean5