Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq
A study has been conducted for projection of monthly rainfall in Baghdad of Iraq using a General Circulation Models (GCM) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under four representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. For this purpo...
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| Format: | Article |
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European Academy of Applied and Social Sciences
2020
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| author | Salman, Saleem Houmsi, Mohamad Rajab Ziarh, Ghaith Falah Ismail, Tarmizi |
| author_facet | Salman, Saleem Houmsi, Mohamad Rajab Ziarh, Ghaith Falah Ismail, Tarmizi |
| author_sort | Salman, Saleem |
| collection | ePrints |
| description | A study has been conducted for projection of monthly rainfall in Baghdad of Iraq using a General Circulation Models (GCM) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under four representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. For this purpose, monthly gridded precipitation datasets produced by the centre for climatic research, University of Delaware (UDel) and GCM BCC-CSM1-1 simulated precipitation data at 46 grid points surrounding Baghdad were used. The statistical downscaling models were developed using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF). The performance of downscaling model assessed using different statistical measures showed that SVM could simulate historical rainfall in the region very well. Projection of rainfall using SVM revealed that rainfall at Baghdad will change in the range of 3.5% to -6.2% in the end of this century. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-05T20:40:51Z |
| format | Article |
| id | utm.eprints-87077 |
| institution | Universiti Teknologi Malaysia - ePrints |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-05T20:40:51Z |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publisher | European Academy of Applied and Social Sciences |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | utm.eprints-870772020-10-31T12:23:14Z http://eprints.utm.my/87077/ Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq Salman, Saleem Houmsi, Mohamad Rajab Ziarh, Ghaith Falah Ismail, Tarmizi TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) A study has been conducted for projection of monthly rainfall in Baghdad of Iraq using a General Circulation Models (GCM) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under four representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. For this purpose, monthly gridded precipitation datasets produced by the centre for climatic research, University of Delaware (UDel) and GCM BCC-CSM1-1 simulated precipitation data at 46 grid points surrounding Baghdad were used. The statistical downscaling models were developed using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF). The performance of downscaling model assessed using different statistical measures showed that SVM could simulate historical rainfall in the region very well. Projection of rainfall using SVM revealed that rainfall at Baghdad will change in the range of 3.5% to -6.2% in the end of this century. European Academy of Applied and Social Sciences 2020 Article PeerReviewed Salman, Saleem and Houmsi, Mohamad Rajab and Ziarh, Ghaith Falah and Ismail, Tarmizi (2020) Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq. European Journal of Climate Change, 2 (1). pp. 32-37. ISSN 2677-6472 http://dx.doi.org/10.34154/2020-EJCC-0201-32-37/euraass |
| spellingShingle | TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Salman, Saleem Houmsi, Mohamad Rajab Ziarh, Ghaith Falah Ismail, Tarmizi Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title | Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title_full | Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title_fullStr | Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title_short | Projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of Iraq |
| title_sort | projection of rainfall under representative concentration pathways scenarios in a data scarce region of iraq |
| topic | TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) |
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