Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai

Modeling meteorological variables is a vital aspect of climate change studies. Awareness of the frequency and magnitude of climate change is a critical concern for mitigating the risks associated with climate change. Probability distribution models are valuable tools for a frequency study of climate...

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Main Authors: Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam, Yusof, Fadhilah, Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani, Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of Statistics Malaysia (ISMy) 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/87082/1/SitiMariamNorrulashikin2021_BestFittedDistributionForMeteorological.pdf
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author Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam
Yusof, Fadhilah
Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani
Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah
author_facet Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam
Yusof, Fadhilah
Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani
Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah
author_sort Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam
collection ePrints
description Modeling meteorological variables is a vital aspect of climate change studies. Awareness of the frequency and magnitude of climate change is a critical concern for mitigating the risks associated with climate change. Probability distribution models are valuable tools for a frequency study of climate variables since it measures how the probability distribution able to fit well in the data series. Monthly meteorological data including average temperature, wind speed, and rainfall were analyzed in order to determine the most suited probability distribution model for Kuala Krai district. The probability distributions that were used in the analysis were Beta, Burr, Gamma, Lognormal, and Weibull distributions. To estimate the parameters for each distribution, the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) was employed. Goodness-of-fit tests such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, and Anderson-Darling tests were conducted to assess the best suited model, and the test's reliability. Results from statistical studies indicate that Burr distributions better characterize the meteorological data of our research. The graph of probability density function, cumulative distribution function as well as Q-Q plot are presented.
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spelling utm.eprints-870822022-09-28T07:38:00Z http://eprints.utm.my/87082/ Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam Yusof, Fadhilah Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah QA Mathematics Modeling meteorological variables is a vital aspect of climate change studies. Awareness of the frequency and magnitude of climate change is a critical concern for mitigating the risks associated with climate change. Probability distribution models are valuable tools for a frequency study of climate variables since it measures how the probability distribution able to fit well in the data series. Monthly meteorological data including average temperature, wind speed, and rainfall were analyzed in order to determine the most suited probability distribution model for Kuala Krai district. The probability distributions that were used in the analysis were Beta, Burr, Gamma, Lognormal, and Weibull distributions. To estimate the parameters for each distribution, the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) was employed. Goodness-of-fit tests such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, and Anderson-Darling tests were conducted to assess the best suited model, and the test's reliability. Results from statistical studies indicate that Burr distributions better characterize the meteorological data of our research. The graph of probability density function, cumulative distribution function as well as Q-Q plot are presented. Institute of Statistics Malaysia (ISMy) 2021-06-29 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/87082/1/SitiMariamNorrulashikin2021_BestFittedDistributionForMeteorological.pdf Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam and Yusof, Fadhilah and Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani and Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah (2021) Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai. Journal of Statistical Modeling and Analytics (JOSMA), 3 (1). pp. 16-25. ISSN 2180-3102 http://dx.doi.org/10.22452/josma.vol3no1.2 DOI:10.22452/josma.vol3no1.2
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Norrulashikin, Siti Mariam
Yusof, Fadhilah
Mohd. Nor, Siti Rohani
Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah
Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title_full Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title_fullStr Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title_full_unstemmed Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title_short Best fitted distribution for meteorological data in Kuala Krai
title_sort best fitted distribution for meteorological data in kuala krai
topic QA Mathematics
url http://eprints.utm.my/87082/1/SitiMariamNorrulashikin2021_BestFittedDistributionForMeteorological.pdf
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