A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty

Long term production planning (LTPP) plays a critical role to achieve success of a mining operation. LTPP, as an optimization problem, aims to maximize the net present value (NPV) of a mine subject to a set of constraints. One of the main reasons for not achieving production targets is the uncertain...

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Main Authors: Gilani, Seyyed Mid, Sattarvand, Javad, Hajihassani, Mohsen, Abdullah, Shahrum Shah
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2020
Subjects:
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author Gilani, Seyyed Mid
Sattarvand, Javad
Hajihassani, Mohsen
Abdullah, Shahrum Shah
author_facet Gilani, Seyyed Mid
Sattarvand, Javad
Hajihassani, Mohsen
Abdullah, Shahrum Shah
author_sort Gilani, Seyyed Mid
collection ePrints
description Long term production planning (LTPP) plays a critical role to achieve success of a mining operation. LTPP, as an optimization problem, aims to maximize the net present value (NPV) of a mine subject to a set of constraints. One of the main reasons for not achieving production targets is the uncertainty of the LTPP's inputs. Geological uncertainty as the main sources of uncertainty is considered in this research. In this regard, a set of equiprobable scenarios of orebody and derived two new block model called “risk block model” and “EType” were used as inputs. Then, a stochastic integer programming (SIP) model was developed to integrate the geological uncertainty. Finally, a PSO-based algorithm was developed to solve the SIP model. Four different strategies were developed, according to the population topology and how to use the risk block model. Population topology defines the subset of particles that effect on each particle. Implementation the proposed approach on a large scale mine demonstrate its performance to develop a unique schedule considering geological uncertainties with maximum NPV and minimum risk of not achieving production targets. Investigations show that Gbest based PSO is more susceptible to trap in local optima. Multiple risk based strategies are able to generate better solutions, however, single risk based strategies are good practices when companies are looking for flexible or specific risk based designs.
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spelling utm.eprints-905432021-04-30T14:47:56Z http://eprints.utm.my/90543/ A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty Gilani, Seyyed Mid Sattarvand, Javad Hajihassani, Mohsen Abdullah, Shahrum Shah T Technology (General) Long term production planning (LTPP) plays a critical role to achieve success of a mining operation. LTPP, as an optimization problem, aims to maximize the net present value (NPV) of a mine subject to a set of constraints. One of the main reasons for not achieving production targets is the uncertainty of the LTPP's inputs. Geological uncertainty as the main sources of uncertainty is considered in this research. In this regard, a set of equiprobable scenarios of orebody and derived two new block model called “risk block model” and “EType” were used as inputs. Then, a stochastic integer programming (SIP) model was developed to integrate the geological uncertainty. Finally, a PSO-based algorithm was developed to solve the SIP model. Four different strategies were developed, according to the population topology and how to use the risk block model. Population topology defines the subset of particles that effect on each particle. Implementation the proposed approach on a large scale mine demonstrate its performance to develop a unique schedule considering geological uncertainties with maximum NPV and minimum risk of not achieving production targets. Investigations show that Gbest based PSO is more susceptible to trap in local optima. Multiple risk based strategies are able to generate better solutions, however, single risk based strategies are good practices when companies are looking for flexible or specific risk based designs. Elsevier Ltd 2020-10 Article PeerReviewed Gilani, Seyyed Mid and Sattarvand, Javad and Hajihassani, Mohsen and Abdullah, Shahrum Shah (2020) A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty. Resources Policy, 68 . p. 101738. ISSN 0301-4207 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101738
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
Gilani, Seyyed Mid
Sattarvand, Javad
Hajihassani, Mohsen
Abdullah, Shahrum Shah
A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title_full A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title_fullStr A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title_short A stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
title_sort stochastic particle swarm based model for long term production planning of open pit mines considering the geological uncertainty
topic T Technology (General)
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