Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations

In offshore oil and gas developments, it is mandatory to have a dropped-objects plan that can be provided to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement upon request. Dropped objects from offshore platforms during lifting or any other offshore operations may cause damage to pipelines at seabe...

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Main Authors: Yu, Xiaochuan, Li, Linxiong, Xiong, Zhixin, Kang, Hooi Siang
Format: Article
Published: American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) 2020
Subjects:
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author Yu, Xiaochuan
Li, Linxiong
Xiong, Zhixin
Kang, Hooi Siang
author_facet Yu, Xiaochuan
Li, Linxiong
Xiong, Zhixin
Kang, Hooi Siang
author_sort Yu, Xiaochuan
collection ePrints
description In offshore oil and gas developments, it is mandatory to have a dropped-objects plan that can be provided to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement upon request. Dropped objects from offshore platforms during lifting or any other offshore operations may cause damage to pipelines at seabed. In this paper, an advanced in- house tool, DROBS, is first introduced and applied to calculate the trajectory of dropped cylindrical objects. The Monte Carlo (MC) method is used to simulate the random distribution of landing points. The hit probability on pipelines and the mean radii derived from DROBS are estimated. Further, half-normal distribution (HND) is adopted to estimate the horizontal excursion of the falling point, based on such lateral deviation. Finally, the mean radii derived from DROBS and HND methods are compared with the results using Det Norske Veritas' simplified method. Our results show that such a simplified method may introduce larger errors to the calculation of hit probability and mean radii. Because an accurate estimation of the mean radius is very important to pipeline layout design to lower the risks from dropped objects in offshore operations, we believe that the proposed method in this work is more practical and accurate.
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spelling utm.eprints-908392021-05-31T13:22:01Z http://eprints.utm.my/90839/ Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations Yu, Xiaochuan Li, Linxiong Xiong, Zhixin Kang, Hooi Siang TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery In offshore oil and gas developments, it is mandatory to have a dropped-objects plan that can be provided to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement upon request. Dropped objects from offshore platforms during lifting or any other offshore operations may cause damage to pipelines at seabed. In this paper, an advanced in- house tool, DROBS, is first introduced and applied to calculate the trajectory of dropped cylindrical objects. The Monte Carlo (MC) method is used to simulate the random distribution of landing points. The hit probability on pipelines and the mean radii derived from DROBS are estimated. Further, half-normal distribution (HND) is adopted to estimate the horizontal excursion of the falling point, based on such lateral deviation. Finally, the mean radii derived from DROBS and HND methods are compared with the results using Det Norske Veritas' simplified method. Our results show that such a simplified method may introduce larger errors to the calculation of hit probability and mean radii. Because an accurate estimation of the mean radius is very important to pipeline layout design to lower the risks from dropped objects in offshore operations, we believe that the proposed method in this work is more practical and accurate. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) 2020-11 Article PeerReviewed Yu, Xiaochuan and Li, Linxiong and Xiong, Zhixin and Kang, Hooi Siang (2020) Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations. Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice, 11 (4). p. 494. ISSN 1949-1190 http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)PS.1949-1204.0000494
spellingShingle TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
Yu, Xiaochuan
Li, Linxiong
Xiong, Zhixin
Kang, Hooi Siang
Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title_full Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title_fullStr Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title_full_unstemmed Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title_short Hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
title_sort hit probability of cylindrical objects dropped on pipelines in offshore operations
topic TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
work_keys_str_mv AT yuxiaochuan hitprobabilityofcylindricalobjectsdroppedonpipelinesinoffshoreoperations
AT lilinxiong hitprobabilityofcylindricalobjectsdroppedonpipelinesinoffshoreoperations
AT xiongzhixin hitprobabilityofcylindricalobjectsdroppedonpipelinesinoffshoreoperations
AT kanghooisiang hitprobabilityofcylindricalobjectsdroppedonpipelinesinoffshoreoperations