Financial distress prediction across firms

One of the most important events in a firm’s life is financial distress, which can propel sectors into financial and sustainable growth problems. Moreover, independent variables in the background of financial distress are accounting ratios, which are extracted from financial statements and macroecon...

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Main Authors: Rafatnia, Ali Akbar, Ramakrishnan, Suresh, Abdullah, Dewi Fariha, Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi, Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad
Format: Article
Published: Dorma Journals 2020
Subjects:
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author Rafatnia, Ali Akbar
Ramakrishnan, Suresh
Abdullah, Dewi Fariha
Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi
Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad
author_facet Rafatnia, Ali Akbar
Ramakrishnan, Suresh
Abdullah, Dewi Fariha
Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi
Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad
author_sort Rafatnia, Ali Akbar
collection ePrints
description One of the most important events in a firm’s life is financial distress, which can propel sectors into financial and sustainable growth problems. Moreover, independent variables in the background of financial distress are accounting ratios, which are extracted from financial statements and macroeconomic variables that are mostly beyond the control of a firm or sector. The current study analysed the information related to a sample of 300 public Iranian companies, during the periods of 2000-2007 and 2009-2016. Logistic regression and decision trees were applied to the prediction of financial distress. It was found that the profitability, liquidity, leverage, interest rate, cash flow, accruals, and GDP were statistically significant in distinguishing distressed from non-distressed firms across sectors. The obtained results showed that the predictive performance of a DT model was more successful than the other model.
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spelling utm.eprints-933732021-11-30T08:21:42Z http://eprints.utm.my/93373/ Financial distress prediction across firms Rafatnia, Ali Akbar Ramakrishnan, Suresh Abdullah, Dewi Fariha Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad HG Finance One of the most important events in a firm’s life is financial distress, which can propel sectors into financial and sustainable growth problems. Moreover, independent variables in the background of financial distress are accounting ratios, which are extracted from financial statements and macroeconomic variables that are mostly beyond the control of a firm or sector. The current study analysed the information related to a sample of 300 public Iranian companies, during the periods of 2000-2007 and 2009-2016. Logistic regression and decision trees were applied to the prediction of financial distress. It was found that the profitability, liquidity, leverage, interest rate, cash flow, accruals, and GDP were statistically significant in distinguishing distressed from non-distressed firms across sectors. The obtained results showed that the predictive performance of a DT model was more successful than the other model. Dorma Journals 2020 Article PeerReviewed Rafatnia, Ali Akbar and Ramakrishnan, Suresh and Abdullah, Dewi Fariha and Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi and Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad (2020) Financial distress prediction across firms. Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques, 8 (2). pp. 646-651. ISSN 2309-1185 http://www.jett.dormaj.com/docs/Volume8/Issue%202/html/Financial%20Distress%20Prediction%20across%20Firms.html
spellingShingle HG Finance
Rafatnia, Ali Akbar
Ramakrishnan, Suresh
Abdullah, Dewi Fariha
Nodeh, Fazel Mohammadi
Mohammad Farajnezhad, Mohammad Farajnezhad
Financial distress prediction across firms
title Financial distress prediction across firms
title_full Financial distress prediction across firms
title_fullStr Financial distress prediction across firms
title_full_unstemmed Financial distress prediction across firms
title_short Financial distress prediction across firms
title_sort financial distress prediction across firms
topic HG Finance
work_keys_str_mv AT rafatniaaliakbar financialdistresspredictionacrossfirms
AT ramakrishnansuresh financialdistresspredictionacrossfirms
AT abdullahdewifariha financialdistresspredictionacrossfirms
AT nodehfazelmohammadi financialdistresspredictionacrossfirms
AT mohammadfarajnezhadmohammadfarajnezhad financialdistresspredictionacrossfirms