Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set

The objective of this investigation presents Combine White Noise (CWN) Model that outperform the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH). This study employed the GDP data set of two countries to compare the results of the new CWN Model with existing EGARCH Mode...

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Main Authors: Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham, Ismail, Suzilah, Chee, Yin Yip
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Medwell Publishing 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/21535/1/RJAS%201%2011%202016%201427-1431.pdf
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author Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham
Ismail, Suzilah
Chee, Yin Yip
author_facet Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham
Ismail, Suzilah
Chee, Yin Yip
author_sort Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham
collection UUM
description The objective of this investigation presents Combine White Noise (CWN) Model that outperform the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH). This study employed the GDP data set of two countries to compare the results of the new CWN Model with existing EGARCH Model.The empirical analysis for the two countries revealed that CWN proved to be more appropriate model.The inference of CWN yielded a reliable outcome of lower information criteria with higher log likelihood values in each country data evaluation while EGARCH revealed higher information criteria and lower log likelihood values when comparing the two models. CWN provided a better forecast output with lower forecast errors values in each country whereas EGARCH offered higher values of forecast errors. CWN estimation was efficient in both countries as the determinant of the residual of covariance matrix is approximately zero while AU has better estimation efficiency than UK. This will assist the policy makers to plan for reliable economy of a society.
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spelling uum-215352017-04-06T04:40:41Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/21535/ Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham Ismail, Suzilah Chee, Yin Yip QA Mathematics The objective of this investigation presents Combine White Noise (CWN) Model that outperform the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH). This study employed the GDP data set of two countries to compare the results of the new CWN Model with existing EGARCH Model.The empirical analysis for the two countries revealed that CWN proved to be more appropriate model.The inference of CWN yielded a reliable outcome of lower information criteria with higher log likelihood values in each country data evaluation while EGARCH revealed higher information criteria and lower log likelihood values when comparing the two models. CWN provided a better forecast output with lower forecast errors values in each country whereas EGARCH offered higher values of forecast errors. CWN estimation was efficient in both countries as the determinant of the residual of covariance matrix is approximately zero while AU has better estimation efficiency than UK. This will assist the policy makers to plan for reliable economy of a society. Medwell Publishing 2016 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/21535/1/RJAS%201%2011%202016%201427-1431.pdf Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham and Ismail, Suzilah and Chee, Yin Yip (2016) Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set. Research Journal of Applied Sciences, 11 (11). pp. 1427-1431. ISSN 1815-932X https://www.medwelljournals.com/abstract/?doi=rjasci.2016.1427.1431
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Agboluaje, Ayodele Abraham
Ismail, Suzilah
Chee, Yin Yip
Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title_full Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title_fullStr Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title_full_unstemmed Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title_short Modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across Australia and United Kingdom GDP data set
title_sort modelling the asymmetric volatility with combine white noise across australia and united kingdom gdp data set
topic QA Mathematics
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/21535/1/RJAS%201%2011%202016%201427-1431.pdf
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AT ismailsuzilah modellingtheasymmetricvolatilitywithcombinewhitenoiseacrossaustraliaandunitedkingdomgdpdataset
AT cheeyinyip modellingtheasymmetricvolatilitywithcombinewhitenoiseacrossaustraliaandunitedkingdomgdpdataset