Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study

As revealed by Malaysia’s bankruptcy statistics, around a quarter of bankruptcy in Malaysia is due to default of vehicle loan.This has led to the tightening up of vehicle loan underwriting and increased vehicle loan rejection rates. The need for a better credit risk scoring model is also raised by...

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Main Authors: Lim, Hock Eam, Siew, Goh Yoke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Utara Malaysia 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/22760/1/IJMS%2024%201%2073%E2%80%9390%202017.pdf
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author Lim, Hock Eam
Siew, Goh Yoke
author_facet Lim, Hock Eam
Siew, Goh Yoke
author_sort Lim, Hock Eam
collection UUM
description As revealed by Malaysia’s bankruptcy statistics, around a quarter of bankruptcy in Malaysia is due to default of vehicle loan.This has led to the tightening up of vehicle loan underwriting and increased vehicle loan rejection rates. The need for a better credit risk scoring model is also raised by the banks.This warrants a study to estimate the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia.This paper estimates the determinants of vehicle loan default probability which could be used to build a loan default prediction or forecasting model for credit risk scoring purposes.Using a simple random sample of 138 car loan borrowers that was provided by an established bank in Malaysia, the descriptive statistical procedures and econometrics modelling were performed to unveil these vehicle loan default determinants.Results of descriptive statistics revealed that more than half of the borrowers were default.Results of logit models further revealed that loan related characteristics are the most important determinants of probability of default.Specifically, the significant determinants of loan default were: areas of residence, vehicle purchase price, length of service, existing relationship with bank, interest rate, and available guarantor.Borrowers who are in high risk of default are characteristically those who reside in rural areas, secure higher vehicle purchase price, have longer length of employment service, are borrowers new to the bank, acquire loans charged with high interest rates, and are without a guarantor.
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spelling uum-227602017-07-26T03:52:46Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/22760/ Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study Lim, Hock Eam Siew, Goh Yoke HG Finance As revealed by Malaysia’s bankruptcy statistics, around a quarter of bankruptcy in Malaysia is due to default of vehicle loan.This has led to the tightening up of vehicle loan underwriting and increased vehicle loan rejection rates. The need for a better credit risk scoring model is also raised by the banks.This warrants a study to estimate the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia.This paper estimates the determinants of vehicle loan default probability which could be used to build a loan default prediction or forecasting model for credit risk scoring purposes.Using a simple random sample of 138 car loan borrowers that was provided by an established bank in Malaysia, the descriptive statistical procedures and econometrics modelling were performed to unveil these vehicle loan default determinants.Results of descriptive statistics revealed that more than half of the borrowers were default.Results of logit models further revealed that loan related characteristics are the most important determinants of probability of default.Specifically, the significant determinants of loan default were: areas of residence, vehicle purchase price, length of service, existing relationship with bank, interest rate, and available guarantor.Borrowers who are in high risk of default are characteristically those who reside in rural areas, secure higher vehicle purchase price, have longer length of employment service, are borrowers new to the bank, acquire loans charged with high interest rates, and are without a guarantor. Universiti Utara Malaysia 2017 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/22760/1/IJMS%2024%201%2073%E2%80%9390%202017.pdf Lim, Hock Eam and Siew, Goh Yoke (2017) Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study. International Journal of Management Studies (IJMS), 21 (1). pp. 73-90. ISSN 0127-8983 http://ijms.uum.edu.my/images/pdf4/vol24no1june/ms-73-90.pdf
spellingShingle HG Finance
Lim, Hock Eam
Siew, Goh Yoke
Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title_full Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title_fullStr Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title_short Estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in Malaysia: an exploratory study
title_sort estimating the determinants of vehicle loan default in malaysia an exploratory study
topic HG Finance
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/22760/1/IJMS%2024%201%2073%E2%80%9390%202017.pdf
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