The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables

Stock indices are considered to be the barometers of any economy. This study examines the long run equilibrium relationship between stock indices and macroeconomic variables by applying the Johansen and Juselius (1990) Vector Error Correction Framework. It considers sector indices of the Bombay Stoc...

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Main Authors: Maheshwari, Yogesh, Rao, KT Vigneswara
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Business, Bond University 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/24974/1/IJBF%2011%202014%202015%2081%2096.pdf
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author Maheshwari, Yogesh
Rao, KT Vigneswara
author_facet Maheshwari, Yogesh
Rao, KT Vigneswara
author_sort Maheshwari, Yogesh
collection UUM
description Stock indices are considered to be the barometers of any economy. This study examines the long run equilibrium relationship between stock indices and macroeconomic variables by applying the Johansen and Juselius (1990) Vector Error Correction Framework. It considers sector indices of the Bombay Stock Exchange and select macroeconomic variables for this purpose. The empirical results reveal that the stock indices and the macroeconomic variables are cointegrated and possess a longrun equilibrium relationship. The relationship has been found to be significantly negative with the index of industrial production, rupee-dollar exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves and wholesale price index, but significantly positive with money supply. The results of the study would enable investors and traders in taking informed decisions. They would also help companies in developing a view on the economy so as to facilitate their financial planning process.
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spelling uum-249742018-10-17T04:22:59Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/24974/ The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables Maheshwari, Yogesh Rao, KT Vigneswara HG Finance Stock indices are considered to be the barometers of any economy. This study examines the long run equilibrium relationship between stock indices and macroeconomic variables by applying the Johansen and Juselius (1990) Vector Error Correction Framework. It considers sector indices of the Bombay Stock Exchange and select macroeconomic variables for this purpose. The empirical results reveal that the stock indices and the macroeconomic variables are cointegrated and possess a longrun equilibrium relationship. The relationship has been found to be significantly negative with the index of industrial production, rupee-dollar exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves and wholesale price index, but significantly positive with money supply. The results of the study would enable investors and traders in taking informed decisions. They would also help companies in developing a view on the economy so as to facilitate their financial planning process. Faculty of Business, Bond University 2015 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/24974/1/IJBF%2011%202014%202015%2081%2096.pdf Maheshwari, Yogesh and Rao, KT Vigneswara (2015) The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables. International Journal of Banking and Finance (IJBF), 11. pp. 81-96. ISSN 1675-7227 http://ijbf.uum.edu.my/index.php/previous-issues/151-volume-11-2014-2015
spellingShingle HG Finance
Maheshwari, Yogesh
Rao, KT Vigneswara
The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title_full The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title_fullStr The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title_full_unstemmed The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title_short The Long Run Relationship Between Stock Indices and Macroeconomic Variables
title_sort long run relationship between stock indices and macroeconomic variables
topic HG Finance
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/24974/1/IJBF%2011%202014%202015%2081%2096.pdf
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