An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction

This study addresses the challenge of applying ant colony optimisation algorithms to imbalanced datasets, focusing on a bankruptcy dataset. The application of ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms has been limited by their performance on imbalanced datasets, particularly within bankruptcy predict...

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Main Authors: Zainol, Annuur Zakiah, Saian, Rizauddin, Teoh, Yeong Kin, Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah, Abu Bakar, Sumarni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Utara Malaysia Press 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30346/1/JICT%2023%2001%202024%201-24.pdf
https://doi.org/10.32890/jict2024.23.1.1
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author Zainol, Annuur Zakiah
Saian, Rizauddin
Teoh, Yeong Kin
Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah
Abu Bakar, Sumarni
author_facet Zainol, Annuur Zakiah
Saian, Rizauddin
Teoh, Yeong Kin
Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah
Abu Bakar, Sumarni
author_sort Zainol, Annuur Zakiah
collection UUM
description This study addresses the challenge of applying ant colony optimisation algorithms to imbalanced datasets, focusing on a bankruptcy dataset. The application of ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms has been limited by their performance on imbalanced datasets, particularly within bankruptcy prediction where the some of bankruptcy cases lead to skewed data distributions. Traditional ACO algorithms, including the original Ant-Miner, often fail to accurately classify minority classes, which is a critical shortcoming in the context of financial distress analysis. Hence, this study proposes an improved algorithm, the Hellinger Distance Ant-Miner (HD-AntMiner), which employs Hellinger distance as the heuristic for ants to gauge the similarity or dissimilarity between probability distributions. The effectiveness of HD-AntMiner is benchmarked against established classifiers—PART and J48—as well as the conventional Ant-Miner, using public datasets and a specialized dataset of 759 Shariah-compliant securities companies in Malaysia. Utilising the Friedman test and F-score for validation, HD-AntMiner demonstrates superior performance in handling imbalanced datasets compared to other algorithms, as affirmed by the Friedman test. The F-score analysis highlights HD-AntMiner’s excellence, achieving the highest F-score for Breast-cancer and Credit-g datasets. When applied to the Shariah-compliant dataset, HD-AntMiner is compared with Ant-Miner and validated through a t-test and F-score. The t-test results confirm HD-AntMiner’s higher accuracy than Ant-Miner, while the F-score indicates superior performance across multiple years in the Shariah-compliant dataset. Although the number of rules and conditions is not statistically significant, HD-AntMiner emerges as a robust algorithm for enhancing classification accuracy in imbalanced datasets, particularly in the context of Shariah-compliant securities prediction.
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spelling uum-303462024-02-01T13:53:32Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30346/ An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction Zainol, Annuur Zakiah Saian, Rizauddin Teoh, Yeong Kin Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah Abu Bakar, Sumarni QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science This study addresses the challenge of applying ant colony optimisation algorithms to imbalanced datasets, focusing on a bankruptcy dataset. The application of ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms has been limited by their performance on imbalanced datasets, particularly within bankruptcy prediction where the some of bankruptcy cases lead to skewed data distributions. Traditional ACO algorithms, including the original Ant-Miner, often fail to accurately classify minority classes, which is a critical shortcoming in the context of financial distress analysis. Hence, this study proposes an improved algorithm, the Hellinger Distance Ant-Miner (HD-AntMiner), which employs Hellinger distance as the heuristic for ants to gauge the similarity or dissimilarity between probability distributions. The effectiveness of HD-AntMiner is benchmarked against established classifiers—PART and J48—as well as the conventional Ant-Miner, using public datasets and a specialized dataset of 759 Shariah-compliant securities companies in Malaysia. Utilising the Friedman test and F-score for validation, HD-AntMiner demonstrates superior performance in handling imbalanced datasets compared to other algorithms, as affirmed by the Friedman test. The F-score analysis highlights HD-AntMiner’s excellence, achieving the highest F-score for Breast-cancer and Credit-g datasets. When applied to the Shariah-compliant dataset, HD-AntMiner is compared with Ant-Miner and validated through a t-test and F-score. The t-test results confirm HD-AntMiner’s higher accuracy than Ant-Miner, while the F-score indicates superior performance across multiple years in the Shariah-compliant dataset. Although the number of rules and conditions is not statistically significant, HD-AntMiner emerges as a robust algorithm for enhancing classification accuracy in imbalanced datasets, particularly in the context of Shariah-compliant securities prediction. Universiti Utara Malaysia Press 2024 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en cc4_by https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30346/1/JICT%2023%2001%202024%201-24.pdf Zainol, Annuur Zakiah and Saian, Rizauddin and Teoh, Yeong Kin and Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah and Abu Bakar, Sumarni (2024) An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction. Journal of Information and Communication Technology, 23 (1). pp. 1-24. ISSN 2180-3862 https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/jict/article/view/19852 https://doi.org/10.32890/jict2024.23.1.1 https://doi.org/10.32890/jict2024.23.1.1
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Zainol, Annuur Zakiah
Saian, Rizauddin
Teoh, Yeong Kin
Mohd Razali, Muhammad Hasbullah
Abu Bakar, Sumarni
An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title_full An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title_fullStr An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title_full_unstemmed An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title_short An Enhanced Ant Colony Optimisation Algorithm with the Hellinger Distance for Shariah-Compliant Securities Companies Bankruptcy Prediction
title_sort enhanced ant colony optimisation algorithm with the hellinger distance for shariah compliant securities companies bankruptcy prediction
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30346/1/JICT%2023%2001%202024%201-24.pdf
https://doi.org/10.32890/jict2024.23.1.1
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