Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods

Finding a good model can be a hefty task, especially when there are many predictors, thus providing many possible interactions. Effects and interactions in the model need to be looked into too. Therefore, model selection is one way to make this task simpler. Different strategies of selecting the rig...

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Main Authors: Kamarudin, Nur Azulia, Ismail, Suzilah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Pushpa Publishing House 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30978/1/FJMS%20101%2008%202017%201655-1670.pdf
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author Kamarudin, Nur Azulia
Ismail, Suzilah
author_facet Kamarudin, Nur Azulia
Ismail, Suzilah
author_sort Kamarudin, Nur Azulia
collection UUM
description Finding a good model can be a hefty task, especially when there are many predictors, thus providing many possible interactions. Effects and interactions in the model need to be looked into too. Therefore, model selection is one way to make this task simpler. Different strategies of selecting the right model had been proposed throughout the years. In this study, 13 selection procedures are compared in terms of their forecasting performances based on root mean square error (RMSE) and geometric root mean square error (GRMSE). Water quality index (WQI) data of a river in Malaysia has been analysed for two-equation and four-equation models of seemingly unrelated regression equations (SURE) model. The procedures were conducted either through manual or automated selection with ordinary least squares (OLS), feasible general least squares (FGLS) or maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for the final model. All automated manner procedures showed favourable results over manual selections. This proves that one person’s knowledge only may not be sufficient to choose the best model. Out of the 13 procedures, SUREMLE-Autometrics has outperformed for both two- and fourequation models with achievement at rank 1 or 2 only. Therefore, MLE is considered as the best estimation method in this model setting
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spelling uum-309782024-07-04T03:22:56Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30978/ Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods Kamarudin, Nur Azulia Ismail, Suzilah QA Mathematics Finding a good model can be a hefty task, especially when there are many predictors, thus providing many possible interactions. Effects and interactions in the model need to be looked into too. Therefore, model selection is one way to make this task simpler. Different strategies of selecting the right model had been proposed throughout the years. In this study, 13 selection procedures are compared in terms of their forecasting performances based on root mean square error (RMSE) and geometric root mean square error (GRMSE). Water quality index (WQI) data of a river in Malaysia has been analysed for two-equation and four-equation models of seemingly unrelated regression equations (SURE) model. The procedures were conducted either through manual or automated selection with ordinary least squares (OLS), feasible general least squares (FGLS) or maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for the final model. All automated manner procedures showed favourable results over manual selections. This proves that one person’s knowledge only may not be sufficient to choose the best model. Out of the 13 procedures, SUREMLE-Autometrics has outperformed for both two- and fourequation models with achievement at rank 1 or 2 only. Therefore, MLE is considered as the best estimation method in this model setting Pushpa Publishing House 2017 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en cc4_by https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30978/1/FJMS%20101%2008%202017%201655-1670.pdf Kamarudin, Nur Azulia and Ismail, Suzilah (2017) Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods. Far East Journal of Mathematical Sciences (FJMS), 101 (8). pp. 1655-1670. ISSN 0972-0871 https://www.pphmj.com/journals/fjms.htm
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Kamarudin, Nur Azulia
Ismail, Suzilah
Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title_full Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title_fullStr Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title_full_unstemmed Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title_short Manual and Automated Model Selection Procedures for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations with Different Estimation Methods
title_sort manual and automated model selection procedures for seemingly unrelated regression equations with different estimation methods
topic QA Mathematics
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30978/1/FJMS%20101%2008%202017%201655-1670.pdf
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