Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries

The goal of this paper is to estimate the long run effects of real oil price and real interest rate differential on real exchange rate for a monthly panel of 8 countries from 1980 to 2008.The modeling exercise follows three steps.In the first step, the paper investigates the integrational properties...

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Main Authors: Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf, Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EuroJournals, Inc. 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/7413/1/EJ.pdf
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author Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf
Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin
author_facet Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf
Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin
author_sort Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf
collection UUM
description The goal of this paper is to estimate the long run effects of real oil price and real interest rate differential on real exchange rate for a monthly panel of 8 countries from 1980 to 2008.The modeling exercise follows three steps.In the first step, the paper investigates the integrational properties of the data and finds them to be integrated of order one.In the second step, using several different panel cointegration tests, the paper finds evidence for cointegration among the three variables.In the third step, using pooled mean group estimator, the paper finds a positive and statistically significant impact of real oil price on real exchange rate for net oil importing countries, implying that increase in oil price leads to real exchange rate depreciation.In contrast, there is no evidence of long run relationship between real oil price and real exchange rate in a panel that consists of net oil exporting countries.
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spelling uum-74132016-04-24T01:30:35Z https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/7413/ Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin HF Commerce The goal of this paper is to estimate the long run effects of real oil price and real interest rate differential on real exchange rate for a monthly panel of 8 countries from 1980 to 2008.The modeling exercise follows three steps.In the first step, the paper investigates the integrational properties of the data and finds them to be integrated of order one.In the second step, using several different panel cointegration tests, the paper finds evidence for cointegration among the three variables.In the third step, using pooled mean group estimator, the paper finds a positive and statistically significant impact of real oil price on real exchange rate for net oil importing countries, implying that increase in oil price leads to real exchange rate depreciation.In contrast, there is no evidence of long run relationship between real oil price and real exchange rate in a panel that consists of net oil exporting countries. EuroJournals, Inc. 2011 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/7413/1/EJ.pdf Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf and Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin (2011) Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries. European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences (42). pp. 13-28. ISSN 1450-2275 http://www.eurojournals.com/EJEFAS.htm
spellingShingle HF Commerce
Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf
Abu Bakar, Nor'Aznin
Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title_full Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title_fullStr Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title_full_unstemmed Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title_short Oil price & exchange rate: A comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
title_sort oil price exchange rate a comparative study between net oil exporting and net oil importing countries
topic HF Commerce
url https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/7413/1/EJ.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT azmanazizmukhrizizraf oilpriceexchangerateacomparativestudybetweennetoilexportingandnetoilimportingcountries
AT abubakarnoraznin oilpriceexchangerateacomparativestudybetweennetoilexportingandnetoilimportingcountries