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Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”
Published 2019-03-01“…Prediction markets appear to be a victory for the economic approach, having yielded more accurate probability estimates than opinion polls or experts for a wide variety of events, all without ever asking for self-reported beliefs. …”
Get full text
Article -
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Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”
Published 2019-03-01“…Prediction markets appear to be a victory for the economic approach, having yielded more accurate probability estimates than opinion polls or experts for a wide variety of events, all without ever asking for self-reported beliefs. …”
Get full text
Article