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Anatomy of a Temporary Trade Shock: The Kenyan Coffee Boom of 1976-9.
Published 1992“…Using counterfactuals, we find that much of the windfall was saved, due to the private sector. However, the control regime constrained private responses, leading to an inefficient use of the windfall. …”
Journal article -
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Flight Capital as a Portfolio Choice.
Published 1999“…Among 51 countries studied, there are large regional differences in the proportion of private wealth held abroad, ranging from 3 percent in South Asia to 39 percent in Africa. …”
Working paper -
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Flight Capital As a Portfolio Choice.
Published 2001“…This article sets flight capital in the context of portfolio choice, focusing on the proportion of private wealth that is held abroad. There are large regional differences in this proportion, ranging from 5 percent in South Asia to 40 percent in Africa. …”
Journal article -
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La politique economique face aux chocs externes dans les pays en developpement.
Published 1993“…About half of the windfall was saved although this was due to a high private savings rate offset by low public savings. …”
Journal article -
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Investment and risk in Africa
Published 2000“…Fourteen papers test whether risk is a reason for the low-level of private investment in Africa and whether African governments and international institutions have the power to reduce those risks. …”
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Rates of Return on Human and Non-Human Capital in Africa's Manufacturing Sector.
Published 1998“…Evidence from earnings functions shows that the private returns to both experience and education rise with the level of education. …”
Working paper -
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Some economic consequences of the transition from civil war to peace.
Published 1994“…And speedy reform, far from increasing uncertainty, is likely to reduce it. After a civil war, private agents are fearful both of each other and of the government. …”
Working paper -
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Asset Policies during an Oil Windfall: Some Simple Analytics.
Published 2005“…Also, even if politically feasible this strategy is inefficient due to the failure to expand the private capital stock ("equipment"). The policy problem is that the government cannot undertake such investment itself and trying to induce private agents to undertake equipment investment by transferring part of the windfall to them is likely to fail as a result of information problems. …”
Journal article -
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Urban infrastructure for development
Published 2016“…The paper discusses the importance of infrastructure investment in growing cities, arguing that, in addition to its direct benefits, infrastructure plays crucial roles in enabling density and coordinating private investment decisions. Many cities have failed to invest in sufficient infrastructure due to inadequate financing tools (in particular failure to capture benefits through land value taxation) and fragmented urban authority.…”
Journal article -
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Building an African infrastructure
Published 2011“…Globally, there is a massive pool of investable private resources. Prospects in the advanced economies look bleak, and in the major emerging economies—the so-called BRICs: Brazil, Russia, India, and China—the future is looking more uncertain. …”
Journal article -
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The Role of the State in Economic Development: Cross-Regional Experiences.
Published 1998“…I show that in both respects until recently African governments provided a poor environment, and that this discouraged private investment. Recently, in parts of Africa the objective investment environment has improved. …”
Journal article -
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The IMF's Role in Structural Adjustment.
Published 1999“…An important role for the Fund in post-stabilisation environments is to provide credible signals to private investors.…”
Journal article -
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Trade and economic performance: does Africa’s fragmentation matter?
Published 2008“…We suggest that both private economic activity and the provision of public goods benefit from powerful scale economies that confer advantages on the South Asian model. …”
Conference item -
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Fiscal Response to a Temporary Trade Shock: The Aftermath of the Kenyan Coffee Boom.
Published 1989“…For example, foreign exchange controls make the private investment of boom income inefficient by causing it to be undertaken too rapidly. …”
Journal article -
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Contractual Constraints on Labour Exchange in Rural Kenya.
Published 1989“…Since independence, the Kenyan economy has witnessed extensive and rapid commercialization of both the commodity and labor markets (as well as the privatization of land). Although there has been much discussion of this process, its impact on the efficiency of resource allocation in peasant agriculture has hitherto been neglected. …”
Journal article -
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Managing Resource Revenues: lessons for low income countries.
Published 2008“…Foreign asset accumulation should be used primarily to smooth volatility, rather than to build up a long-term sovereign wealth fund. Trade-offs between private and public spending channels are examined from both an economic and political economy standpoint.…”
Working paper -
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Managing resource revenues: lessons for low income countries
Published 2008“…Foreign asset accumulation should be used primarily to smooth volatility, rather than to build up a long-term sovereign wealth fund. Trade-offs between private and public spending channels are examined from both an economic and political economy standpoint.…”
Conference item -
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Implications of Ethnic Diversity.
Published 2001“…Fractionalized societies have worse public sector performance, but this is offset by better private sector performance. Societies characterized by dominance are in principle likely to have worse economic performance, but empirically the effect is weak. …”
Journal article