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A View of Tropical Cyclones from Above: The Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment
Published 2018“…Tropical cyclone (TC) outflow and its relationship to TC intensity change and structure were investigated in the Office of Naval Research Tropical Cyclone Intensity (TCI) field program during 2015 using dropsondes deployed from the innovative new High-Definition Sounding System (HDSS) and remotely sensed observations from the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD), both on board the NASA WB-57 that flew in the lower stratosphere. …”
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Grey swan tropical cyclones
Published 2017“…We define ‘grey swan’ tropical cyclones as high-impact storms that would not be predicted based on history but may be foreseeable using physical knowledge together with historical data. …”
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Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change
Published 2011“…Whether the characteristics of tropical cyclones have changed or will change in a warming climate — and if so, how — has been the subject of considerable investigation, often with conflicting results. …”
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The Feedback of Cold Wakes on Tropical Cyclones
Published 2021“…Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause negative sea surface temperature anomalies by vertical mixing and other processes. …”
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On the size distribution of Atlantic tropical cyclones
Published 2011“…The size of a tropical cyclone is known to vary considerably across storms, though little is understood about the environmental and internal factors that modulate it. …”
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A Ventilation Index for Tropical Cyclones
Published 2013“…An important environmental control of both tropical cyclone intensity and genesis is vertical wind shear. …”
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Response of tropical sea surface temperature, precipitation, and tropical cyclone-related variables to changes in global and local forcing
Published 2014“…A single-column model is used to estimate the equilibrium response of sea surface temperature (SST), precipitation, and several variables related to tropical cyclone (TC) activity to changes in both local and global forcing. …”
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On the Seasonal Cycles of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity
Published 2018“…Recent studies have investigated trends and interannual variability in the potential intensity (PI) of tropical cyclones (TCs), but relatively few have examined TC PI seasonality or its controlling factors. …”
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100 Years of Progress in Tropical Cyclone Research
Published 2020“…A century ago, meteorologists regarded tropical cyclones as shallow vortices, extending upward only a few kilometers into the troposphere, and nothing was known about their physics save that convection was somehow involved. …”
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Midlevel Ventilation's Constraint on Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Published 2011“…Midlevel ventilation, or the flux of low-entropy air into the inner core of a tropical cyclone (TC), is a hypothesized mechanism by which environmental vertical wind shear can constrain a tropical cyclone’s intensity. …”
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Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas
Published 2014“…This paper uses a new rainfall algorithm to simulate the long-term tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) climatology in Texas based on synthetic tropical cyclones generated from National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data from 1980 to 2010. …”
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On the Role of Surface Fluxes and WISHE in Tropical Cyclone Intensification
Published 2017“…The authors show that the feedback between surface wind and surface enthalpy flux is an important influence on tropical cyclone evolution, even though, as with at least some classical instability mechanisms, such a feedback is not strictly necessary. …”
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On the Predictability and Error Sources of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts
Published 2018“…The skill of tropical cyclone intensity forecasts has improved slowly since such forecasts became routine, even though track forecast skill has increased markedly over the same period. …”
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Impacts of hemispheric solar geoengineering on tropical cyclone frequency
Published 2018“…Observations following major volcanic eruptions indicate that aerosol enhancements confined to a single hemisphere effectively modulate North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the following years. …”
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On the Desirability and Feasibility of a Global Reanalysis of Tropical Cyclones
Published 2018“…What: Accurate records of historical tropical cyclones are invaluable for scientific research and risk quantification. …”
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Tropical cyclone hazard to Mumbai in the recent historical climate
Published 2020“…The hazard to the city of Mumbai, India, from a possible severe tropical cyclone under the recent historical climate is considered. …”
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A QuikSCAT climatology of tropical cyclone size
Published 2011“…QuikSCAT data of near-surface wind vectors for the years 1999–2008 are used to create a climatology of tropical cyclone (TC) size, defined as the radius of vanishing winds. …”
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Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensity to Ventilation in an Axisymmetric Model
Published 2013“…The sensitivity of tropical cyclone intensity to ventilation of cooler, drier air into the inner core is examined using an axisymmetric tropical cyclone model with parameterized ventilation. …”
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The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity
Published 2014“…Temporally inconsistent and potentially unreliable global historical data hinder the detection of trends in tropical cyclone activity. This limits our confidence in evaluating proposed linkages between observed trends in tropical cyclones and in the environment. …”
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Are Special Processes at Work in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones?
Published 2015“…Frequency distributions of intensification and dissipation developed from synthetic open-ocean tropical cyclone data show no evidence of significant departures from exponential distributions, though there is some evidence for a fat tail of dissipation rates. …”
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