Plasmodium falciparum malaria endemicity in Indonesia in 2010. by Elyazar, I, Gething, P, Patil, A, Rogayah, H, Kusriastuti, R, Wismarini, D, Tarmizi, SN, Baird, J, Hay, S

“…After quality control, 2,516 were included into a national database of age-standardized 2-10 year old PfPR data (PfPR(2-10)) for endemicity mapping. A Bayesian MBG procedure was used to create a predicted surface of PfPR(2-10) endemicity with uncertainty estimates. …”

Plasmodium vivax malaria endemicity in Indonesia in 2010 by Elyazar, I, Gething, P, Patil, A, Rogayah, H, Sariwati, E, Palupi, N, Tarmizi, SN, Kusriastuti, R, Baird, J, Hay, S

“…BACKGROUND: Plasmodium vivax imposes substantial morbidity and mortality burdens in endemic zones. Detailed understanding of the contemporary spatial distribution of this parasite is needed to combat it. …”

Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria-endemic countries by Tatem, A, Smith, D, Gething, P, Kabaria, C, Snow, R, Hay, S

“…Spatial data for these factors were assembled for all malaria-endemic countries and combined to provide an objective, relative ranking of countries by technical, operational, and combined elimination feasibility. …”

Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria-endemic countries. by Tatem, A, Smith, D, Gething, P, Kabaria, C, Snow, R, Hay, S

“…Spatial data for these factors were assembled for all malaria-endemic countries and combined to provide an objective, relative ranking of countries by technical, operational, and combined elimination feasibility. …”

A world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2007. by Hay, S, Guerra, C, Gething, P, Patil, A, Tatem, A, Noor, A, Kabaria, C, Manh, B, Elyazar, I, Brooker, S, Smith, D, Moyeed, R, Snow, R

“…It is exactly 40 y since the last global map of malaria endemicity was published. This paper describes the generation of a new world map of Plasmodium falciparum malaria endemicity for the year 2007. …”

Growing evidence of Plasmodium vivax across malaria-endemic Africa by Twohig, K, Pfeffer, D, Baird, J, Price, R, Zimmerman, P, Hay, S, Gething, P, Battle, K, Howes, R

“…Since 2010, the number of studies identifying P. vivax endemic to Africa has expanded considerably, with 88 new scientific reports published since a review of evidence in 2015, approximately doubling the available data. …”

A world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2007 by Hay, S, Guerra, C, Gething, P, Patil, A, Tatem, A, Noor, A, Kabaria, C, Manh, B, Elyazar, I, Brooker, S, Smith, D, Moyeed, R, Snow, R

“…It is exactly 40 y since the last global map of malaria endemicity was published. this paper describes the generation of a new world map of <em>Plasmodium falciparum</em> malaria endemicity for the year 2007. …”

A new world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2010. by Gething, P, Patil, A, Smith, D, Guerra, C, Elyazar, I, Johnston, G, Tatem, A, Hay, S

“…Following the first global effort to map Plasmodium falciparum malaria endemicity in 2007, this paper describes the generation of a new world map for the year 2010. …”

A long neglected world malaria map: Plasmodium vivax endemicity in 2010. by Gething, P, Elyazar, I, Moyes, C, Smith, D, Battle, K, Guerra, C, Patil, A, Tatem, A, Howes, R, Myers, M, George, D, Horby, P, Wertheim, H, Price, R, Müeller, I, Baird, J, Hay, S

“…Here we present the first systematic effort to map the global endemicity of this hitherto neglected parasite</p> <h4>Methodology and Findings</h4><pwe (par)="" (pvpr)="" (pvpr1–99)="" 1985="" 1–99="" 2.5="" 2010="" 22%="" 3.5%="" 565="" 6%="" 7%pvpr1–99.="" 82%="" 9%="" 9,970="" a="" africa,="" africa.="" age="" age-standardised="" americas="" an="" and="" approach="" area="" areas="" asia="" assembly="" at="" bayesian="" billion="" but="" central="" coinciding="" collected="" constrained="" contained="" contributed="" contributing="" data="" dense="" duffy="" earlier="" east="" endemic="" endemicity="" estimate="" every="" exceeding="" first="" frequency="" from="" generally="" geographical="" geopositionedp.="" geostatistical="" global="" globally.="" grid="" guinea="" high="" highest="" home="" horn,="" important="" in="" incorporated="" india="" indonesia="" km="" limits="" madagascar="" meant="" model="" model-based="" myanmar.="" narrow="" negative="" negativity="" new="" of="" ofp.="" on="" only="" our="" p="" p.="" papua="" par="" par.="" par.<="" particularly="" parts="" people="" phenotype="" point="" populated="" populations="" predicted="" predictions,="" range="" rarely="" rate="" region="" relatively="" resolution="" risk="" south="" sparsely="" spatiotemporal="" square.="" stable="" suppress="" surveys="" the="" throughout="" to="" transmission="" transmission,="" transmission.="" updated="" used="" vivax="" vivaxparasite="" vivaxtransmission,="" was="" were="" with="" within="" world,="" year=""> <h4>Conclusions and Significance</h4> <p>This detailed depiction of spatially varying endemicity is intended to contribute to a muchneeded paradigm shift towards geographically stratified and evidence-based planning forP. vivaxcontrol and elimination</p></pwe>…”

MALARIA HYPO-ENDEMIC FOCI AND EPIDEMIC RISK ON JAVA AND BALI, INDONESIA IN 2009 by Elyazar, I, Smith, D, Gething, P, Patil, A, Guerra, C, Rogayah, H, Wismarin, D, Kusriastuti, R, Baird, K, Hay, S

Country specific predictions of the cost-effectiveness of malaria vaccine RTS,S/AS01 in endemic Africa by Galactionova, K, Tediosi, F, Camponovo, F, Smith, T, Gething, P, Penny, M

“…BACKGROUND: RTS,S/AS01 is a safe and moderately efficacious vaccine considered for implementation in endemic Africa. Model predictions of impact and cost-effectiveness of this new intervention could aid in country adoption decisions. …”

The geography of imported malaria to non-endemic countries: a meta-analysis of nationally-reported statistics by Tatem, A, Jia, P, Ordanovich, D, Falkner, M, Huang, Z, Howes, R, Hay, S, Gething, P, Smith, D

“…Background <br/> Malaria remains a problem for many countries classified as malaria free through cases imported from endemic regions. Imported cases to non-endemic countries often result in delays in diagnosis, are expensive to treat, and can sometimes cause secondary local transmission. …”

Erratum: Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria-endemic countries (Lancet (2010) 376 (1579-1591)) by Tatem, A, Smith, D, Gething, P, Kabaria, C, Snow, R, Hay, S

Mapping the global endemicity and clinical burden of Plasmodium vivax, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study by Battle, K, Lucas, T, Nguyen, M, Howes, R, Nandi, A, Twohig, K, Pfeffer, D, Cameron, E, Rao, P, Casey, D, Gibson, H, Rozier, J, Dalrymple, U, Keddie, S, Collins, E, Harris, J, Guerra, C, Thorn, M, Bisanzio, D, Fullman, N, Huynh, C, Kulikoff, X, Kutz, M, Lopez, A, Mokdad, A, Naghavi, M, Nguyen, G, Shackelford, K, Vos, T, Wang, H, Lim, S, Murray, C, Price, R, Baird, K, Smith, D, Bhatt, S, Weiss, D, Hay, S, Gething, P

“…Given the challenges associated with the proper diagnosis and treatment of P vivax, national malaria programmes—particularly those pursuing malaria elimination strategies—require up to date assessments of P vivax endemicity and disease impact. This study presents the first global maps of P vivax clinical burden from 2000 to 2017. …”

Spatio-temporal mapping of Madagascar’s Malaria Indicator Survey results to assess Plasmodium falciparum endemicity trends between 2011 and 2016 by Kang, S, Battle, K, Gibson, H, Ratsimbasoa, A, Randrianarivelojosia, M, Ramboarina, S, Zimmerman, P, Weiss, D, Cameron, E, Gething, P, Howes, R

G6PD deficiency prevalence and estimates of affected populations in malaria endemic countries: a geostatistical model-based map. by Howes, R, Piel, F, Patil, A, Nyangiri, O, Gething, P, Dewi, M, Hogg, M, Battle, K, Padilla, C, Baird, J, Hay, S

“…These surveys formed the evidence-base for a Bayesian geostatistical model adapted to the gene's X-linked inheritance, which predicted a G6PDd allele frequency map across malaria endemic countries (MECs) and generated population-weighted estimates of affected populations. …”

Climate change and the global malaria recession. by Gething, P, Smith, D, Patil, A, Tatem, A, Snow, R, Hay, S

“…Here, for the first time, we quantify this contraction and the global decreases in malaria endemicity since approximately 1900. We compare the magnitude of these changes to the size of effects on malaria endemicity proposed under future climate scenarios and associated with widely used public health interventions. …”

Urbanization and the global malaria recession. by Tatem, A, Gething, P, Smith, D, Hay, S

“…BACKGROUND: The past century has seen a significant contraction in the global extent of malaria transmission, resulting in over 50 countries being declared malaria free, and many regions of currently endemic countries eliminating the disease. Moreover, substantial reductions in transmission have been seen since 1900 in those areas that remain endemic today. …”

The global public health significance of Plasmodium vivax. by Battle, K, Gething, P, Elyazar, I, Moyes, C, Sinka, M, Howes, R, Guerra, C, Price, R, Baird, J, Hay, S

“…Here, we review the evidence of the biological limits of its contemporary distribution and the global population at risk (PAR) of the disease within endemic countries. We also review the most recent evidence for the endemic level of transmission within its range and discuss the implications for burden of disease assessments. …”

Modelling the global constraints of temperature on transmission of Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax. by Gething, P, Van Boeckel, T, Smith, D, Guerra, C, Patil, A, Snow, R, Hay, S

“… BACKGROUND: Temperature is a key determinant of environmental suitability for transmission of human malaria, modulating endemicity in some regions and preventing transmission in others. …”