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Combining disaggregate forecasts or combining disaggregate information to forecast an aggregate.
Published 2010Working paper -
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The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England
Published 2018“…The adoption as policy models by central banks of representative agent New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models has been widely criticised, including for their simplistic micro-foundations. …”
Journal article -
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The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England
Published 2017“…The adoption as policy models by central banks of representative agent New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models has been widely criticised, including for their simplistic micro-foundations. …”
Working paper -
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Forecasting from Structural Econometric Models.
Published 2012“…Structural models play a major role at most central banks and many other governmental agencies, yet almost none forecast the financial crisis and ensuing recession. …”
Working paper -
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Forecasting from structural econometric models
Published 2012“…Structural models play a major role at most central banks and many other governmental agencies, yet almost none forecast the financial crisis and ensuing recession. …”
Working paper