Towards real-time probabilistic ash deposition forecasting for New Zealand by Rosa Trancoso, Yannik Behr, Tony Hurst, Natalia I Deligne

“…Abstract Volcanic ashfall forecasts are highly dependent on eruption source parameters (ESPs) and synoptic weather conditions at the time and location of the eruption. In New Zealand, MetService and GNS Science have been jointly developing an ashfall forecast system that incorporates four-dimensional high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) and ESPs into the HYSPLIT model, a state-of-the art hybrid Eulerian and Lagrangian dispersion model widely used for volcanic ash. …”
Get full text

Modeling SO2 dispersion from future eruptions in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand by Siena Brody-Heine, Marwan Katurji, Carol Stewart, Thomas Wilson, Elaine R. Smid, Rosa Trancoso

Get full text