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Revisiting Public Opinion in the 1930s and 1940s
Published 2012“…We compiled and produced readily usable computer files for over 400 public opinion polls undertaken between 1936 and 1945 by the four major survey organizations active during that period. …”
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Honesty via Choice-Matching
Published 2021“…<jats:p> We introduce choice-matching, a class of mechanisms for eliciting honest responses to a multiple choice question (MCQ), as might appear in a market research study, opinion poll, or economics experiment. Under choice-matching, respondents are compensated through an auxiliary task, e.g., a personal consumption choice or a forecast. …”
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Policy and Performance in the New Deal Realignment: Evidence from Old Data and New Methods
Published 2020“…Using a comprehensive analysis of opinion polls conducted in 1936–52, we argue that policy preferences were far from irrelevant. …”
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Analytic Methods for Optimizing Realtime Crowdsourcing
Published 2017“…Realtime crowds enable crowd-powered systems that respond at interactive speeds: for example, cameras, robots and instant opinion polls. So far, these techniques have mainly been proof-of-concept prototypes: research has not yet attempted to understand how they might work at large scale or optimize their cost/performance trade-offs. …”
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Learning human beliefs with language models
Published 2022“…Measuring explicitly expressed beliefs, whether stated on online platforms or captured in public opinion polls, can shed insight into present and future societal patterns of behavior. …”
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