Global flood forecasting for averting disasters worldwide by Hirpa, FA, Pappenberger, F, Arnal, L, Baugh, CA, Cloke, HL, Dutra, E, Emerton, RE, Revilla-Romero, B, Salamon, P, Smith, PJ, Stephen, E, Wetterhall, F, Zsoter, E, Theielen-del Pozo, J

“…Globally, floods are responsible for more than half of the total people affected by all weather-related disasters combined, causing a large number of deaths and significant economic losses. …”

The effect of reference climatology on global flood forecasting by Hirpa, F, Salamon, P, Alfieri, L, Pozo, J, Zsoter, E, Pappenberger, F

“…The Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) is a preoperational suite performing daily streamflow simulations to detect severe floods in large river basins. …”

Global floods and water availability driven by atmospheric rivers by Paltan, H, Waliser, D, Lim, W, Guan, B, Yamazaki, D, Pant, R, Dadson, S

Development and evaluation of a framework for global flood hazard mapping by Dottori, F, Salamon, P, Bianchi, A, Alfieri, L, Hirpa, F, Feyen, L

“…Nowadays, the development of high-resolution flood hazard models have become feasible at continental and global scale, and their application in developing countries and data-scarce regions can be extremely helpful to increase preparedness of population and reduce catastrophic impacts.The present work describes the development of a novel procedure for global flood hazard mapping, based on the most recent advances in large scale flood modelling. …”

Towards global flood mapping onboard low cost satellites with machine learning by Mateo-Garcia, G, Veitch-Michaelis, J, Smith, L, Oprea, SV, Schumann, G, Gal, Y, Baydin, AG, Backes, D

Calibration of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) using daily streamflow data by Hirpa, F, Salamon, P, Beck, H, Lorini, V, Alfieri, L, Zsoter, E, Dadson, S

“…This paper presents the calibration and evaluation of the Global Flood Awareness System 33 (GloFAS), an operational system that produces ensemble streamflow forecasts and threshold 34 exceedance probabilities for large rivers worldwide. …”

Recommendations to improve the interpretation of global flood forecasts to support international humanitarian operations for tropical cyclones by Speight, L, Stephens, E, Hawker, L, Baugh, C, Neal, J, Cloke, H, Grey, S, Titley, H, Marsden, K, Sumner, T, Ficchi, A, Prudhomme, C, Archer, L, Bazo, J, Dambo, J, Dolan, S, Huhn, AL, Moschini, F, Savage, J, Smith, A, Towner, J, Wanzala, M

A decision-led evaluation approach for flood forecasting system developments: an application to the Global Flood Awareness System in Bangladesh by Hossain, S, Cloke, H, Ficchi, A, Gupta, Speight, L, Hassan, A, Stephens, E

“…However, responses to such changes are complex, particularly in global models, and evaluation of improvements remains focussed on generalised skill assessments and not on the most relevant outcomes for those taking decisions. Recently, the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) flood forecasting model has been upgraded from version 2.1 to 3.1 with a significant change to its hydrological model structure. …”

Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: a critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response by Emerton, R, Cloke, H, Ficchi, A, Hawker, L, de Wit, S, Speight, L, Prudhomme, C, Rundell, P, West, R, Neal, J, Cuna, J, Harrigan, S, Titley, H, Magnusson, L, Pappenberger, F, Klingaman, N, Stephens, E

Global projection of flood risk with a bivariate framework under 1.5–3.0°C warming levels by Huang, X, Yin, J, Slater, LJ, Kang, S, He, S, Liu, P

“…By constructing the joint distribution of flood peak and duration with copulas, we examine global flood risk with a bivariate framework under varying levels of global warming (i.e., within a range of 1.5–3.0°C above pre-industrial levels). …”

The impact of lake and reservoir parameterization on global streamflow simulation by Zajac, Z, Revilla-Romero, B, Salamon, P, Burek, P, Hirpa, F, Beck, H

“…<p>Lakes and reservoirs affect the timing and magnitude of streamflow, and are therefore essential hydrological model components, especially in the context of global flood forecasting. However, the parameterization of lake and reservoir routines on a global scale is subject to considerable uncertainty due to lack of information on lake hydrographic characteristics and reservoir operating rules. …”

Long-term changes in global socioeconomic benefits of flood defenses and residual risk based on CMIP5 climate models by Lim, W, Yamazaki, D, Koirala, S, Hirabayashi, Y, Kanae, S, Dadson, S, Hall, J, Sun, F

“…Despite recent progress in global flood risk assessment, the socioeconomic benefits of flood defenses (i.e., reduction in population/economic exposure) and the residual risk (i.e., residual population/economic exposure) are poorly understood globally and regionally. …”