State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States by H. Juliette T. Unwin, Swapnil Mishra, Valerie C. Bradley, Axel Gandy, Thomas A. Mellan, Helen Coupland, Jonathan Ish-Horowicz, Michaela A. C. Vollmer, Charles Whittaker, Sarah L. Filippi, Xiaoyue Xi, Mélodie Monod, Oliver Ratmann, Michael Hutchinson, Fabian Valka, Harrison Zhu, Iwona Hawryluk, Philip Milton, Kylie E. C. Ainslie, Marc Baguelin, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Nick F. Brazeau, Lorenzo Cattarino, Zulma Cucunuba, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Ilaria Dorigatti, Oliver D. Eales, Jeffrey W. Eaton, Sabine L. van Elsland, Richard G. FitzJohn, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, William Green, Wes Hinsley, Benjamin Jeffrey, Edward Knock, Daniel J. Laydon, John Lees, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Pierre Nouvellet, Lucy Okell, Kris V. Parag, Igor Siveroni, Hayley A. Thompson, Patrick Walker, Caroline E. Walters, Oliver J. Watson, Lilith K. Whittles, Azra C. Ghani, Neil M. Ferguson, Steven Riley, Christl A. Donnelly, Samir Bhatt, Seth Flaxman

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Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China by Han Fu, Haowei Wang, Xiaoyue Xi, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Yuanrong Wang, Wes Hinsley, Keith J. Fraser, Ruth McCabe, Daniela Olivera Mesa, Janetta Skarp, Alice Ledda, Tamsin Dewé, Amy Dighe, Peter Winskill, Sabine L. van Elsland, Kylie E.C. Ainslie, Marc Baguelin, Samir Bhatt, Olivia Boyd, Nicholas F. Brazeau, Lorenzo Cattarino, Giovanni Charles, Helen Coupland, Zulma M. Cucunuba, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Christl A. Donnelly, Ilaria Dorigatti, Oliver D. Eales, Richard G. FitzJohn, Seth Flaxman, Katy A.M. Gaythorpe, Azra C. Ghani, William D. Green, Arran Hamlet, Katharina Hauck, David J. Haw, Benjamin Jeffrey, Daniel J. Laydon, John A. Lees, Thomas Mellan, Swapnil Mishra, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Pierre Nouvellet, Lucy Okell, Kris V. Parag, Manon Ragonnet-Cronin, Steven Riley, Nora Schmit, Hayley A. Thompson, H.Juliette T. Unwin, Robert Verity, Michaela A.C. Vollmer, Erik Volz, Patrick G.T. Walker, Caroline E. Walters, Oliver J. Watson, Charles Whittaker, Lilith K. Whittles, Natsuko Imai, Sangeeta Bhatia, Neil M. Ferguson

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Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study by Alexandra B Hogan, PhD, Britta L Jewell, PhD, Ellie Sherrard-Smith, PhD, Juan F Vesga, PhD, Oliver J Watson, PhD, Charles Whittaker, MSc, Arran Hamlet, PhD, Jennifer A Smith, DPhil, Peter Winskill, PhD, Robert Verity, PhD, Marc Baguelin, PhD, John A Lees, PhD, Lilith K Whittles, PhD, Kylie E C Ainslie, PhD, Samir Bhatt, DPhil, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, MD, Nicholas F Brazeau, PhD, Lorenzo Cattarino, PhD, Laura V Cooper, MPhil, Helen Coupland, MRes, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, MMath, Amy Dighe, MRes, Bimandra A Djaafara, MRes, Christl A Donnelly, ProfScD, Jeff W Eaton, PhD, Sabine L van Elsland, PhD, Richard G FitzJohn, PhD, Han Fu, PhD, Katy A M Gaythorpe, PhD, William Green, MRes, David J Haw, PhD, Sarah Hayes, MSc, Wes Hinsley, PhD, Natsuko Imai, PhD, Daniel J Laydon, PhD, Tara D Mangal, PhD, Thomas A Mellan, PhD, Swapnil Mishra, PhD, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, PhD, Kris V Parag, PhD, Hayley A Thompson, MPH, H Juliette T Unwin, PhD, Michaela A C Vollmer, PhD, Caroline E Walters, PhD, Haowei Wang, MSc, Yuanrong Wang, Xiaoyue Xi, MSc, Neil M Ferguson, ProfDPhil, Lucy C Okell, PhD, Thomas S Churcher, PhD, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, DPhil, Azra C Ghani, ProfPhD, Patrick G T Walker, PhD, Timothy B Hallett, ProfPhD

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Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modelling by Nicholas F. Brazeau, Robert Verity, Sara Jenks, Han Fu, Charles Whittaker, Peter Winskill, Ilaria Dorigatti, Patrick G. T. Walker, Steven Riley, Ricardo P. Schnekenberg, Henrique Hoeltgebaum, Thomas A. Mellan, Swapnil Mishra, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Oliver J. Watson, Zulma M. Cucunubá, Marc Baguelin, Lilith Whittles, Samir Bhatt, Azra C. Ghani, Neil M. Ferguson, Lucy C. Okell

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Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria by Oliver J. Watson, Mervat Alhaffar, Zaki Mehchy, Charles Whittaker, Zack Akil, Nicholas F. Brazeau, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Arran Hamlet, Hayley A. Thompson, Marc Baguelin, Richard G. FitzJohn, Edward Knock, John A. Lees, Lilith K. Whittles, Thomas Mellan, Peter Winskill, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Natasha Howard, Hannah Clapham, Francesco Checchi, Neil Ferguson, Azra Ghani, Emma Beals, Patrick Walker

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Author Correction: Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England by Pablo N. Perez-Guzman, Edward Knock, Natsuko Imai, Thomas Rawson, Cosmo Nazzareno Santoni, Joana Alcada, Lilith K. Whittles, Divya Thekke Kanapram, Raphael Sonabend, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Wes Hinsley, Richard G. FitzJohn, Erik Volz, Robert Verity, Neil M. Ferguson, Anne Cori, Marc Baguelin

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Publisher Correction: Children’s role in the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of early surveillance data on susceptibility, severity, and transmissibility by Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Sangeeta Bhatia, Tara Mangal, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Natsuko Imai, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Caroline E. Walters, Elita Jauneikaite, Helena Bayley, Mara D. Kont, Andria Mousa, Lilith K. Whittles, Steven Riley, Neil M. Ferguson

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Anonymised and aggregated crowd level mobility data from mobile phones suggests that initial compliance with COVID-19 social distancing interventions was high and geographically co... by Benjamin Jeffrey, Caroline E. Walters, Kylie E. C. Ainslie, Oliver Eales, Constanze Ciavarella, Sangeeta Bhatia, Sarah Hayes, Marc Baguelin, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Nicholas F. Brazeau, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Richard G. FitzJohn, Katy Gaythorpe, William Green, Natsuko Imai, Thomas A. Mellan, Swapnil Mishra, Pierre Nouvellet, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Robert Verity, Michaela Vollmer, Charles Whittaker, Neil M. Ferguson, Christl A. Donnelly, Steven Riley

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Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England by Pablo N. Perez-Guzman, Edward Knock, Natsuko Imai, Thomas Rawson, Cosmo Nazzareno Santoni, Joana Alcada, Lilith K. Whittles, Divya Thekke Kanapram, Raphael Sonabend, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Wes Hinsley, Richard G. FitzJohn, Erik Volz, Robert Verity, Neil M. Ferguson, Anne Cori, Marc Baguelin

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Modelling the impact of vaccine hesitancy in prolonging the need for Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions to control the COVID-19 pandemic by Daniela Olivera Mesa, Alexandra B. Hogan, Oliver J. Watson, Giovanni D. Charles, Katharina Hauck, Azra C. Ghani, Peter Winskill

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How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated? by Susy Echeverria-Londono, Xiang Li, Jaspreet Toor, Margaret J. de Villiers, Shevanthi Nayagam, Timothy B. Hallett, Kaja Abbas, Mark Jit, Petra Klepac, Kévin Jean, Tini Garske, Neil M. Ferguson, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe

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Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate [version 2; peer review: 2 approved] by Richard G. FitzJohn, Edward S. Knock, Lilith K. Whittles, Pablo N. Perez-Guzman, Sangeeta Bhatia, Fernando Guntoro, Oliver J. Watson, Charles Whittaker, Neil M. Ferguson, Anne Cori, Marc Baguelin, John A. Lees

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Children’s role in the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of early surveillance data on susceptibility, severity, and transmissibility by Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Sangeeta Bhatia, Tara Mangal, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Natsuko Imai, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Caroline E. Walters, Elita Jauneikaite, Helena Bayley, Mara D. Kont, Andria Mousa, Lilith K. Whittles, Steven Riley, Neil M. Ferguson

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Using syndromic measures of mortality to capture the dynamics of COVID-19 in Java, Indonesia, in the context of vaccination rollout by Bimandra A. Djaafara, Charles Whittaker, Oliver J. Watson, Robert Verity, Nicholas F. Brazeau, Widyastuti, Dwi Oktavia, Verry Adrian, Ngabila Salama, Sangeeta Bhatia, Pierre Nouvellet, Ellie Sherrard-Smith, Thomas S. Churcher, Henry Surendra, Rosa N. Lina, Lenny L. Ekawati, Karina D. Lestari, Adhi Andrianto, Guy Thwaites, J. Kevin Baird, Azra C. Ghani, Iqbal R. F. Elyazar, Patrick G. T. Walker

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Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies by David J. Haw, Christian Morgenstern, Giovanni Forchini, Rob Johnson, Patrick Doohan, Peter C. Smith, Katharina D. Hauck

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Communicating uncertainty in epidemic models by Ruth McCabe, Mara D. Kont, Nora Schmit, Charles Whittaker, Alessandra Løchen, Patrick G.T. Walker, Azra C. Ghani, Neil M. Ferguson, Peter J. White, Christl A. Donnelly, Oliver J. Watson

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Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of infections that are not detected in an outbreak by H. Juliette T. Unwin, Anne Cori, Natsuko Imai, Katy A.M. Gaythorpe, Sangeeta Bhatia, Lorenzo Cattarino, Christl A. Donnelly, Neil M. Ferguson, Marc Baguelin

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COVID-19 in Japan, January–March 2020: insights from the first three months of the epidemic by Natsuko Imai, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Sangeeta Bhatia, Tara D. Mangal, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Elita Jauneikaite, Neil M. Ferguson

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Seasonality of agricultural exposure as an important predictor of seasonal yellow fever spillover in Brazil by Arran Hamlet, Daniel Garkauskas Ramos, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Alessandro Pecego Martins Romano, Tini Garske, Neil M. Ferguson

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Climate change and communicable diseases in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by Thomas Rawson, Patrick Doohan, Katharina Hauck, Kris A. Murray, Neil Ferguson

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