Life cycle of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemispheric winter by Lu, H, Gray, L, Baldwin, M, Jarvis, M

“…The solar signals in the lower stratosphere are stronger in early winter but weaker in late winter, while the reverse holds in the upper stratosphere. © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

A coupled K-nearest neighbour and Bayesian neural network model for daily rainfall downscaling by Lu, Y., Qin, Xiaosheng

Get full text
Get full text

Assessing atmospheric predictability on Mars using numerical weather prediction and data assimilation by Rogberg, P, Read, P, Lewis, SR, Montabone, L

“…These results demonstrate the importance of even relatively small errors in the aerosol fields and so in the computed radiative balance of the Martian atmosphere for deterministic forecasts throughout the Martian year, including times at which baroclinic transients are inactive. © 2010 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

The non‐conservation of potential vorticity by a dynamical core compared with the effects of parametrized physical processes by Saffin, L, Methven, J, Gray, S

Upper-ocean singular vectors of the North Atlantic climate with implications for linear predictability and variability by Zanna, L, Heimbach, P, Moore, A, Tziperman, E

“…The limit of predictability of the MOC is found to be different from that of the upper-ocean heat content, emphasizing that errors in ocean initial conditions will affect various measures differently and such uncertainties should be carefully considered in decadal prediction experiments. © 2011 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

Global satellite measurements of HDO and implications for understanding the transport of water vapour into the stratosphere by Payne, V, Noone, D, Dudhia, A, Piccolo, C, Grainger, R

“…Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

Remote control of North Atlantic Oscillation predictability via the stratosphere by Hansen, F, Greatbatch, R, Gollan, G, Jung, T, Weisheimer, A

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts by Doblas-Reyes, F, Weisheimer, A, Deque, M, Keenlyside, N, McVean, M, Murphy, J, Rogel, P, Smith, D, Palmer, T

“…The full multi-model ensemble has improved quality with respect to all other systems, mainly from the larger ensemble size for lead times longer than four months and annual predictions. © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society and Crown Copyright.…”

The land surface memory - a drought prediction tool by Brown, M, Black, E, Quaife, T, Otu-Larbi, F

Progress, challenges, and future steps in data assimilation for convection‐permitting numerical weather prediction: Report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 November 2021 by Guannan Hu, Sarah L. Dance, Ross N. Bannister, Hristo G. Chipilski, Oliver Guillet, Bruce Macpherson, Martin Weissmann, Nusrat Yussouf

“…Abstract In November 2021, the Royal Meteorological Society Data Assimilation (DA) Special Interest Group and the University of Reading hosted a virtual meeting on the topic of DA for convection‐permitting numerical weather prediction. …”
Get full text

Island precipitation enhancement and the diurnal cycle in radiative-convective equilibrium by Cronin, Timothy Wallace, Molnar, Peter H., Emanuel, Kerry Andrew

Get full text
Get full text

Upper tropospheric cloud-radiation interaction induced by monsoon surge over the South China Sea by Koseki, Shunya, Fonseca, Ricardo, Koh, Tieh Yong, Teo, Chee Kiat

Get full text

Rossby wave-breaking analysis of explosive cyclones in the Euro-Atlantic sector by Gómara, I, Pinto, J, Woollings, T, Masato, G, Zurita-Gotor, P, Rodríguez-Fonseca, B

“…We conclude that the links between RWB and cyclogenesis over the Euro-Atlantic sector are sensitive to the cyclone's maximum intensity, deepening rate and location. © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

Rossby wave-breaking analysis of explosive cyclones in the Euro-Atlantic sector by Gomara, I, Pinto, J, Woollings, T, Masato, G, Zurita-Gotor, P, Rodriguez-Fonseca, B

“…We conclude that the links between RWB and cyclogenesis over the Euro-Atlantic sector are sensitive to the cyclone's maximum intensity, deepening rate and location. © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society.…”

Modelling daily rainfall with climatological predictors: Poisson-gamma generalized linear modelling approach by Yunus, R.M., Hasan, M.M., Razak, N.A., Zubairi, Y.Z., Dunn, P.K.

Simulations of the observed ‘jump’ in the West African monsoon and its underlying dynamics using the MIT regional climate model by Im, Eun Soon, Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.

Get full text
Get full text

Investigating atmospheric predictability on Mars using breeding vectors in a general-circulation model by Newman, C, Read, P, Lewis, SR

“…Despite the model having no feedbacks between dust lifting and atmospheric state (unlike the original multi-year mn), the ensemble members still show maximum divergence in this region in terms of near-surface wind stress, suggesting both that this application deserves further testing, and that the intrinsic atmospheric variability alone may be important in producing interannual variability in this storm type. © Royal Meteorological Society, 2004.…”

Towards the probabilistic Earth-system simulator: A vision for the future of climate and weather prediction by Palmer, T

“…Finally, by considering the exceptionally challenging problem of quantifying cloud feedback in climate change, it is argued that the development of the probabilistic Earth-system simulator may actually provide a route to reducing uncertainty in climate prediction. © 2012 Royal Meteorological Society.…”