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201
Examine generalized lambda distribution fitting performance: An application to extreme share return in Malaysia
Published 2017“…Evidence for preferring GLD as an alternative to extreme value theory distribution also described.…”
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202
Statistical Prediction of Future Sports Records Based on Record Values
Published 2023-01-01“…Previous works on forecasting athletic records have mainly been based on extreme value theory. The presented statistical prediction methods are exemplarily applied to data from various disciplines of athletics as well as to data from American football based on fantasy football points according to the points per reception scoring scheme. …”
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203
Double Risk Catastrophe Reinsurance Premium Based on Houses Damaged and Deaths
Published 2023-02-01“…We provide further justification and support for the model by considering the addition of more than one type of CAT risk in the context of extreme value theory. We further extend the applicability of the CAT reinsurance premium model by considering house damage and deaths as CAT risk. …”
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204
Modeling Insurance Claim Distribution via Mixture Distribution and Copula
Published 2017-04-01“…<br />Special type of distribution which is a mixture of Generalized Hyperbolic Skew t distribution and Extreme Value theory (EVT) has been used for modeling marginal distributions of claims and copula function has been considered as a means of modeling dependency structure among claims. …”
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205
A Survey of Spatial Extremes
Published 2012-04-01“… We survey the current practice of analyzing spatial extreme data, which lies at the intersection of extreme value theory and geostatistics. Characterizations of multivariate max-stable distributions typically assume specific univariate marginal distributions, and their statistical applications generally require capturing the tail behavior of the margins and describing the tail dependence among the components. …”
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206
Where does the link between atmospheric moisture transport and extreme precipitation matter?
Published 2023-03-01“…We utilised the full geographical and temporal spectrum of the ERA-5 reanalysis data and extreme value theory to identify regions where the atmospheric moisture transport, quantified as local integrated moisture vertical transport (IVT), influences daily extreme precipitation, and where this influence has a relevant dynamic component, which may alter the dependency between IVT and extreme precipitation as temperatures increase with climate change. …”
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207
Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for VaR and CVaR Employing Distorted Band Priors
Published 2024-01-01“…Although we focus on the Generalized Pareto distribution, which is essential in Extreme Value Theory, the new sensitivity measures could be employed for all the distributions that verify certain conditions related to likelihood ratio order. …”
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208
Measurement of risk spillover effect based on EV-Copula method
Published 2023-11-01“…Abstract Based on the extreme value theory, copula function, and conditional value at risk (Abbreviated as CoVaR) model, an extreme value copula CoVaR (EV-Copula CoVaR) model is established. …”
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209
Bayesian extreme value statistics for novelty detection in gas-turbine engines
Published 2008“…We present a novel method for the identification of abnormal episodes in gas-turbine vibration data, in which we show 1) how a model of normal engine behaviour is constructed using signatures of "normal" engine vibration response; 2) how extreme value theory (EVT), a branch of statistics used to determine the expected value of extreme values drawn from a distribution, can be used to set novelty thresholds in the model, which, if exceeded, indicate an "abnormal" episode; 3) application to large data sets of modern gas-turbine flight data, which shows successful novelty detection results with low false-positive alarm rates. …”
Conference item -
210
Extreme growth behaviour of corrosion pit in hydrocarbon pipeline (case study of ø242.1mm pipeline)
Published 2008“…Thus, in this study, extreme values analysis using extreme value theory, peaks-over-threshold method or combination of both methods is adopted to analyze the inspection data. …”
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Thesis -
211
Tail Index Estimation of PageRanks in Evolving Random Graphs
Published 2022-08-01“…In the present paper, a statistical analysis of the extremal part of random graphs is considered. We used the extreme value theory regarding sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences to evaluate the tail index of the PageRanks and max-linear models of superstar nodes in the evolving graphs where existing nodes or edges can be deleted or not. …”
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212
Estimating running safety factor of ballastless railway bridges using tail modelling
Published 2022-08-01“…Then, their reliability is evaluated using simulation-based techniques and extreme value theory, i.e., tail approximation. Then, the existing safety factor is calculated to evaluate the consistency of the current approaches, and possible new values are proposed based on the desired target reliabilities.…”
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213
Bayesian and non-Bayesian two-sample prediction for the Fréchet distribution under progressive type II censoring
Published 2024-01-01“…On the other hand, the Fréchet distribution is a continuous model, which has wide applicability in extreme value theory, based on a progressively type-II right censoring scheme. …”
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214
Workspace Analysis of Hydraulic Follow-up Arm based on Monte Carlo Method
Published 2022-01-01“…Based on Monte Carlo method and extreme value theory, the working face at the height of fracturing wellhead is solved, and the influence of the arm length of hydraulic servo arm on the stopping distance and working width is studied under the condition of fixed stopping error. …”
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215
Probabilistic earthquake hazard parameterization for Indo-Burma region using extreme value approach
Published 2022-12-01“…Seismic hazard assessment has been performed using the well-known extreme value theory, including estimate of return periods and likelihood of occurrence of medium to large earthquake events. …”
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216
Interest rate risk of Chinese commercial banks based on the GARCH-EVT model
Published 2023-11-01“…The study applies two-stage approaches, combining GARCH-type models with extreme value theory. Firstly, the Markov regime switching model is used to test the regime states of the series. …”
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217
RecordTest: An R Package to Analyze Non-Stationarity in the Extremes Based on Record-Breaking Events
Published 2023-03-01“…As an alternative to the classical extreme value theory, this analysis can be based on the study of record-breaking events. …”
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218
Model selection and validation of extreme distribution by goodness-of-fit test based on conditional position
Published 2013“…In Extreme Value Theory, the important aspect of model extrapolation is to model the extreme behavior. …”
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Conference or Workshop Item -
219
Crash Diagnosis and Price Rebound Prediction in NYSE Composite Index Based on Visibility Graph and Time-Evolving Stock Correlation Network
Published 2021-11-01“…To calculate this metric, we design a prediction-guided anomaly detection algorithm based on the extreme value theory. Finally, we proposed a hybrid indicator to predict price rebounds of the stock index by combining the network anomaly metric and the visibility graph-based log-periodic power-law model. …”
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220
The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
Published 2023-04-01“…Herein, we considered extremes based on the “Peaks Over Threshold” method from the “Extreme Value Theory”. We looked after geographical patterns of surface air temperature (SAT) extremes (e.g., Tmax, Tmin, daily temperature range (DTR), and inter-daily temperature range) over the last 40 years throughout the Brazilian coast. …”
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Article