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  1. 7901
    Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

    Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Bhattacharjee, NV, Schumacher, AE, Aali, A, Almidani, O, Bandyopadhyay, S, Graham, SM, Lacey, BWH, Maude, RJ, Runghien, T, Rodriguez, JAB

    Published 2024
    “…A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline. <p><b>Findings</b></p> During the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4·84 (95% UI 4·63–5·06) to 2·23 (2·09–2·38). …”
    Journal article

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