Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Bhattacharjee, NV, Schumacher, AE, Aali, A, Almidani, O, Bandyopadhyay, S, Graham, SM, Lacey, BWH, Maude, RJ, Runghien, T, Rodriguez, JAB

“…Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. …”

Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2... by Brauer, M, Roth, GA, Aravkin, AY, Bandyopadhyay, S, Bennett, DA, Browne, AJ, Graham, SM, Rodriguez, JAB, Runghien, T, Sartorius, B

“…Estimates reported represent the mean value across 500 draws from the estimate's distribution, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile values across the draws. …”

Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 co... by Ferrari, AJ, Santomauro, DF, Aali, A, Lacey, BWH, Rodriguez, JAB

“…<p><b>Funding</b></p> Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.…”

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Lacey, BWH, GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators

“…&lt;h4&gt;Funding&lt;/h4&gt;Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation.…”