21W.775 Writing about Nature and Environmental Issues, Spring 2006 by Lioi, Anthony

“…Students will keep a web log as a journal. Writings are drawn from the tradition of nature writing and from contemporary forms of the environmentalist essay. …”
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Essays on the market for corporate bonds by Levonmaa, A

“…Using intraday transaction data from the TRACE database, I analyse over 1,000 of the most liquid corporate bonds, a total of 9.5 million trades. Drawing on similar studies of other markets, the relationship between returns and order flow is modelled using a vector autoregression, and the information content of a trade is measured as the long-run price impact of a shock to order flow. …”

Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Feigin, VL, Abate, MD, Abate, YH, Bandyopadhyay, S, Bennett, DA, Lacey, B, Newton, CRJ

“…We also calculated burden of stroke attributable to 23 risk factors and six risk clusters (air pollution, tobacco smoking, behavioural, dietary, environmental, and metabolic risks) at the global and regional levels (21 GBD regions and Socio-demographic Index [SDI] quintiles), using the standard GBD methodology. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline. …”

Le christianisme laïc de Pierre Bayle by Hooks, JM

“…In his Pensées Diverses (1682), Bayle draws upon original sin, and in his Commentaire Philosophique (1686), Bayle uses the doctrine of the Imago Dei. …”

Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 co... by Ferrari, AJ, Santomauro, DF, Aali, A, Lacey, BWH, Rodriguez, JAB

“…HALE estimates were produced using YLDs per capita and age-specific mortality rates by location, age, sex, year, and cause. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for all final estimates as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles values of 500 draws. Uncertainty was propagated at each step of the estimation process. …”

Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2... by Brauer, M, Roth, GA, Aravkin, AY, Bandyopadhyay, S, Bennett, DA, Browne, AJ, Graham, SM, Rodriguez, JAB, Runghien, T, Sartorius, B

“…Estimates reported represent the mean value across 500 draws from the estimate's distribution, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile values across the draws. …”

Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Glob... by Naghavi, M, Ong, KL, Aali, A, Almidani, O, Bandyopadhyay, S, Basnyat, B, Maude, R, Dolecek, C, Lacey, BWH

“…As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. …”

Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-... by Schumacher, AE, Kyu, HH, Aali, A, Almidani, O, Bandyopadhyay, S, Basnyat, B, Maude, RJ, Bennett, D, Browne, AJ, Dolecek, C, Dunachie, SJ, Newton, CRJ, Rodriguez, JAB

“…Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. <p><b>Findings</b></p> Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). …”

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Lacey, BWH, GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators

“…The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline.…”

Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 by Bhattacharjee, NV, Schumacher, AE, Aali, A, Almidani, O, Bandyopadhyay, S, Graham, SM, Lacey, BWH, Maude, RJ, Runghien, T, Rodriguez, JAB

“…Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. …”