Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach

Tourism forecasting can lead to important elements in tourism industry to ensure that each investment by individuals, companies and government was worth it. From economy perspective, homestay is a growing business nowadays and can be an important indicator to the tourism industry. It also generates...

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Главные авторы: Noratikah, Abu, Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin
Формат: Conference or Workshop Item
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Universiti Malaysia Pahang 2018
Предметы:
Online-ссылка:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/23068/1/Tourism%20forecasting%20in%20pahang%20an%20application%20of%20homestay%20by%20using%20box22.pdf
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author Noratikah, Abu
Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin
author_facet Noratikah, Abu
Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin
author_sort Noratikah, Abu
collection UMP
description Tourism forecasting can lead to important elements in tourism industry to ensure that each investment by individuals, companies and government was worth it. From economy perspective, homestay is a growing business nowadays and can be an important indicator to the tourism industry. It also generates income revenue to the owner and also surrounding communities. This paper applied Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) method to make analysis and forecast for the number of domestics tourist used homestay in Pahang. This method much accurate for short and long term forecasting with high frequency of data. Results obtained by applying the proposed model and numerical calculation shows that it is effective for forecasting the number of homestay used by domestic’s tourist and the number of homestay used also increase.
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spelling UMPir230682019-07-24T03:46:54Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/23068/ Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach Noratikah, Abu Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin T Technology (General) Tourism forecasting can lead to important elements in tourism industry to ensure that each investment by individuals, companies and government was worth it. From economy perspective, homestay is a growing business nowadays and can be an important indicator to the tourism industry. It also generates income revenue to the owner and also surrounding communities. This paper applied Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) method to make analysis and forecast for the number of domestics tourist used homestay in Pahang. This method much accurate for short and long term forecasting with high frequency of data. Results obtained by applying the proposed model and numerical calculation shows that it is effective for forecasting the number of homestay used by domestic’s tourist and the number of homestay used also increase. Universiti Malaysia Pahang 2018-08 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/23068/1/Tourism%20forecasting%20in%20pahang%20an%20application%20of%20homestay%20by%20using%20box22.pdf Noratikah, Abu and Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin (2018) Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach. In: Proceedings Book: National Conference for Postgraduate Research (NCON-PGR 2018) , 28-29 August 2018 , Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Gambang, Pahang. pp. 174-179.. ISBN 978-967-22260-5-5 (Published) http://ncon-pgr.ump.edu.my/index.php/en/download/proceedings-book
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
Noratikah, Abu
Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin
Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title_full Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title_fullStr Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title_full_unstemmed Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title_short Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach
title_sort tourism forecasting in pahang an application of homestay by using box jenkins approach
topic T Technology (General)
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/23068/1/Tourism%20forecasting%20in%20pahang%20an%20application%20of%20homestay%20by%20using%20box22.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT noratikahabu tourismforecastinginpahanganapplicationofhomestaybyusingboxjenkinsapproach
AT megatmuhammadafifmegatmuainuddin tourismforecastinginpahanganapplicationofhomestaybyusingboxjenkinsapproach