Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with ℛ0 higher than initially estimated

The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the distribution of the latent period and, based on empirical estimates of the doubling time in the near-exponential p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marek Kochańczyk, Frederic Grabowski, Tomasz Lipniacki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2020-09-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200786