Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them

The unprecedented melting of Arctic ice provides new opportunities for shipping by decreasing the distance for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe by up to 40%. However, its development is associated with inevitable problems caused by the vulnerability of polar ecosystems. As research methods...

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Main Authors: Irina Makarova, Dmitry Makarov, Polina Buyvol, Aleksandr Barinov, Larysa Gubacheva, Eduard Mukhametdinov, Vadim Mavrin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/10/1415
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author Irina Makarova
Dmitry Makarov
Polina Buyvol
Aleksandr Barinov
Larysa Gubacheva
Eduard Mukhametdinov
Vadim Mavrin
author_facet Irina Makarova
Dmitry Makarov
Polina Buyvol
Aleksandr Barinov
Larysa Gubacheva
Eduard Mukhametdinov
Vadim Mavrin
author_sort Irina Makarova
collection DOAJ
description The unprecedented melting of Arctic ice provides new opportunities for shipping by decreasing the distance for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe by up to 40%. However, its development is associated with inevitable problems caused by the vulnerability of polar ecosystems. As research methods, we have chosen system and comparative analyses of open sources; national development strategies of the Russian Federation (primarily), China, Northern Europe, and the USA (partially); and scientific articles from the Scopus and Elibrary databases. As a result, we have identified the reasons for possible risk situations for the Arctic region’s sustainable development: mining on the shelf, oil and oil product spills during the transportation of goods and fishing activities, etc. Black carbon (soot) emitted from using marine diesel fuel is the main atmospheric air pollutant. In addition, actively developing infrastructure (ports and new industrial zones) also has a negative anthropogenic impact on the environment. Within the framework of an ecosystem approach, we studied ways to prevent risky situations when planning logistics routes using the Northern Sea Route. We concluded about the need to expand the icebreaker fleet. We proposed a conceptual model of the risk management system based on the monitoring of the key indicators’ system. We identified possible types of risks according to the place of their occurrence and according to the stages of the life cycle of such systems. Furthermore, we provided the steps of the risk management system and an example of the application of a “bow-tie” diagram—a qualitative method for assessing the risk of “collision”.
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spelling doaj.art-02db26b5410f45418db37558e65b34162023-11-24T00:43:53ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-10-011010141510.3390/jmse10101415Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid ThemIrina Makarova0Dmitry Makarov1Polina Buyvol2Aleksandr Barinov3Larysa Gubacheva4Eduard Mukhametdinov5Vadim Mavrin6Naberezhnye Chelny Institute, Kazan Federal University, Syuyumbike Prosp. 10a, 423822 Naberezhnye Chelny, RussiaInstitute of North Industrial Ecology Problems Kola Science, Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences, md. Akademgorodok, d. 14A, 184209 Apatity, RussiaNaberezhnye Chelny Institute, Kazan Federal University, Syuyumbike Prosp. 10a, 423822 Naberezhnye Chelny, RussiaDepartment of Energy and Transport, Murmansk State Technical University, Str. Sportivnaya, 13, 183010 Murmansk, RussiaInstitute of Civil Protection, Vladimir Dahl Lugansk National University, Molodezhnyj Quar., 20-A, 91000 Lugansk, UkraineNaberezhnye Chelny Institute, Kazan Federal University, Syuyumbike Prosp. 10a, 423822 Naberezhnye Chelny, RussiaNaberezhnye Chelny Institute, Kazan Federal University, Syuyumbike Prosp. 10a, 423822 Naberezhnye Chelny, RussiaThe unprecedented melting of Arctic ice provides new opportunities for shipping by decreasing the distance for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe by up to 40%. However, its development is associated with inevitable problems caused by the vulnerability of polar ecosystems. As research methods, we have chosen system and comparative analyses of open sources; national development strategies of the Russian Federation (primarily), China, Northern Europe, and the USA (partially); and scientific articles from the Scopus and Elibrary databases. As a result, we have identified the reasons for possible risk situations for the Arctic region’s sustainable development: mining on the shelf, oil and oil product spills during the transportation of goods and fishing activities, etc. Black carbon (soot) emitted from using marine diesel fuel is the main atmospheric air pollutant. In addition, actively developing infrastructure (ports and new industrial zones) also has a negative anthropogenic impact on the environment. Within the framework of an ecosystem approach, we studied ways to prevent risky situations when planning logistics routes using the Northern Sea Route. We concluded about the need to expand the icebreaker fleet. We proposed a conceptual model of the risk management system based on the monitoring of the key indicators’ system. We identified possible types of risks according to the place of their occurrence and according to the stages of the life cycle of such systems. Furthermore, we provided the steps of the risk management system and an example of the application of a “bow-tie” diagram—a qualitative method for assessing the risk of “collision”.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/10/1415Northern Sea Routerisk management systemenvironmental problems
spellingShingle Irina Makarova
Dmitry Makarov
Polina Buyvol
Aleksandr Barinov
Larysa Gubacheva
Eduard Mukhametdinov
Vadim Mavrin
Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Northern Sea Route
risk management system
environmental problems
title Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
title_full Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
title_fullStr Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
title_full_unstemmed Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
title_short Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
title_sort arctic development in connection with the northern sea route a review of ecological risks and ways to avoid them
topic Northern Sea Route
risk management system
environmental problems
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/10/1415
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